3110 Lilac St · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the established Meadowlane area of Pine Bluff, this home presents a rare opportunity to create something truly special. Set on a quiet residential street lined with mature surroundings, the property offers a sense of space, comfort, and long-term potential that is becoming harder to find. Inside, the home features a practical and inviting layout that serves as the perfect canvas whether you’re envisioning a beautifully updated personal residence or a thoughtfully renovated investment property. The structure offers solid bones and timeless potential, ready for a buyer with vision to bring it to life. Conveniently located near schools, local amenities, and major city routes,
Key facts
- Near schools
- Solid bones
- Practical layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property taxes reported
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Single-family property (approx. 1,000 total area); Lot approximately 0.19 acres
- Construction: Slab foundation; 3-tab shingle roof
- Exterior features: Brick and frame exterior; Sloped lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and wood floors; Central heating; Central cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($913 rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 9.0% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Watson Chapel School District (urban): math 10% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #228 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $65k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.86%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $29,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3307 Rose St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 2mo | $18,000 | $18 | 89 |
| 2803 W 27 | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (-2%) | 4mo | $37,000 | $38 | 73 |
| 3502 Lilac | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (+7%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $75 | 69 |
| 2813 S Orlando | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (-3%) | 4mo | $92,750 | $95 | 68 |
| 2804 W 30th Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-8%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $43 | 64 |
| 3308 Jonquil | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (+8%) | 22mo | $13,636 | $13 | 62 |
| 2913 S Orlando | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,058 (+6%) | 2mo | $33,500 | $32 | 57 |
| 1718 S Marsh | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+8%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $28 | 56 |
| 3408 Iris St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (+11%) | 21mo | $32,000 | $29 | 52 |
| 3200 Jonquil | 0.08mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,125 (+12%) | 22mo | $13,636 | $12 | 52 |
| 3102 Jonquil | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+14%) | 22mo | $13,636 | $12 | 49 |
| 3400 Jonquil | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-15%) | 22mo | $13,636 | $16 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $8,646
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $32,213
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71603
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $913 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $624/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3109 Daffodil St Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $825 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2319 W 27th Ave Unit B Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $795 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2001 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $750 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1907 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 947 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4324 Union Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $650 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1107 S Cypress St Unit 1 Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $700 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1901 W 40th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $765 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3008 S Elm St Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 New Listing 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 New Listing 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 New Listing 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-12$65,000 New Listing 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $624 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $624 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,954
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$624
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$876
- − Management
- −$876
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,720
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$653
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Watson Chapel School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513930
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,521
- Composite
- 9.55/100
- National rank
- #9845
- State rank
- #228 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- County
- Jefferson County · 29,578 people
- City population
- 29,578
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,578
- Household income
- $53,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 206.5994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+114.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $65,000 CARMLS
- 2022-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,375 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $624 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…