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540 Aubrey Dr Multi-family
C Composite 57.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

540 Aubrey Dr · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA 30606
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,856 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1976 $148/sqft · 14% below area Est $318k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

***Tenant occupied - 24-hour notice required for showings. Limited showing availability.*** Great investment opportunity in Athens-Clarke County! This charming white brick duplex features two units - each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom with brand-new flooring throughout. Inside each side, you'll find a spacious living room that flows into a generously sized kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook, plus two well-proportioned bedrooms and a full bath. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or secure a property in a desirable Athens location, this is an opportunity you don't want to miss!

Key facts

  • Cozy breakfast nook
  • White brick duplex
  • Full bath

Tags

WHITE BRICK DUPLEXSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMGENEROUSLY SIZED KITCHENCOZY BREAKFAST NOOKWELL-PROPORTIONED BEDROOMSFULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.3% in Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,818/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 3510% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $275k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$318,378
List price
$275,000
Delta
-13.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-19,819
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,786
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30606

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
317
Price-to-rent
16.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,818 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,618/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$592
Net cashflow
$451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,247
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $607 -5% $529 +0% $451 +5% $374 +10% $296
Rent -10% $229 -5% $340 +0% $451 +5% $563 +10% $674
Rate -1.0pp $590 -0.5pp $521 base $451 +0.5pp $380 +1.0pp $308

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,818

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1130 Darlington Station Rd Bogart, GA 3.0 2.0 1702 $1,900 $1.12 22d 1 0.43mi
332 Park West Blvd General, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 44d 1 1.43mi
332 Park West Blvd Unit NA Bogart, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 22d 1 1.43mi
421 Park West Blvd Athens, GA 4.0 2.5 2277 $2,900 $1.27 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $275,000 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 118 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $275,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,000 Active 102 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $285,000 Active 101 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $285,000 Active 100 DOM
  16. 2026-02-03
    listed $285,000 New 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (654 chars)

    * * * Tenant occupied — 24-hour notice required for showings. Limited showing availability. * * * Great investment opportunity in Athens-Clarke County! This charming white brick duplex features two units — each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom with brand-new flooring throughout. Inside each side, you’ll find a spacious living room that flows into a generously sized kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook, plus two well-proportioned bedrooms and a full bath. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or secure a property in a desirable Athens location, this is an opportunity you don’t want to miss!

  17. 2026-02-03
    listed $285,000 Active 654-char remark
    Show marketing remark (654 chars)

    * * * Tenant occupied — 24-hour notice required for showings. Limited showing availability. * * * Great investment opportunity in Athens-Clarke County! This charming white brick duplex features two units — each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom with brand-new flooring throughout. Inside each side, you’ll find a spacious living room that flows into a generously sized kitchen with a cozy breakfast nook, plus two well-proportioned bedrooms and a full bath. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or secure a property in a desirable Athens location, this is an opportunity you don’t want to miss!

  18. 2021-06-03
    soldstatus $169,900
  19. 2016-05-21
    historical
  20. 2016-04-05
    listed $59,900
  21. 1992-06-29
    soldstatus $34,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,618 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,618 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,816
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,618
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,705
− Management
−$2,705
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$1,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$242
After-tax cash flow
$5,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarke County
NCES district ID
1301170
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$33,649
Composite
15.51/100
National rank
#9302
State rank
#146 of 174 in GA

Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
County
Clarke County · 126,008 people
City population
119,110
Metro
Athens-Clarke County, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,865
Household income
$63,328
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
3510.0

Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
141,365 people
By 2030
151,724 · +7.3%
By 2040
168,541 · +19.2%
By 2050
184,855 · +30.8%
By 2075
221,736 · +56.9%
By 2100
253,853 · +79.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarke

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -454.63%
Current HPI
258.4817
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Athens-Clarke County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+716.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $285,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $285,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
  • 2016-05-21 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2016-04-05 Listed $59,900 Hive MLS
  • 1992-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $34,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,618 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…