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238 True St
A- Composite 82.35
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$65,000

238 True St · Hoven, SD 57450
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,628 sqft · Manufactured · 146 Days on market
Built 1973 Fair condition 0.35 ac lot $40/sqft · 43% below area Est $115k · 43% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers 2 additional rooms that could be used as bedrooms with some work. The property needs some TLC but has potential as a great home, hunting retreat, or investment property. The large attached garage is wired for a heater per seller. There is also a large cement pad included on the NW corner of the property.

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1973

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Hoven School District 53-2 (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #76 of 148 in SD (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.29%
Cash-on-cash
21.43%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,025
List price
$65,000
Delta
-43.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$28,549
Equity at exit
$29,227
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
4.99×
Total profit
$72,647
Equity at exit
$45,042

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57450

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 127 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 126 DOM
  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $65,000 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers 2 additional rooms that could be used as bedrooms with some work. The property needs some TLC but has potential as a great home, hunting retreat, or investment property. The large attached garage is wired for a heater per seller. There is also a large cement pad included on the NW corner of the property.

  18. 2025-04-23
    listed $75,000 Active
  19. 2024-04-08
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,761
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$941
− Management
−$941
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$731
After-tax cash flow
$3,170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting interior walls and replacing carpet with hardwood would significantly enhance its curb appeal and increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom cabinets — slight wear
  • Moderate exterior siding — gray siding
  • Moderate interior walls — wallpaper, wood paneling
  • Moderate flooring — carpeted floors

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood — increases both resale and rental value
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and increases value
  • Both update bathroom cabinets — modernizes bathroom and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · gray siding Moderate $3,000–15,000
interior walls · wallpaper, wood paneling Moderate $3,000–15,000
flooring · carpeted floors Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $10,000–51,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood — increases both resale and rental value
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and increases value
  • Both update bathroom cabinets — modernizes bathroom and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoven School District 53-2
NCES district ID
4634600
Math proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$41,824
Composite
43.98/100
National rank
#6269
State rank
#76 of 148 in SD

Livability — Hoven

Score
64/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#14372

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoven, SD
Population (ZIP)
605

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,235 people
By 2030
2,208 · -1.2%
By 2040
2,203 · -1.4%
By 2050
2,266 · +1.4%
By 2075
2,920 · +30.6%
By 2100
3,427 · +53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.1) · D 16.5% · R 81.6% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -65.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.1 2020: R+66.1 2016: R+64.0 2012: R+50.0 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $65,000 ABOR
  • 2025-04-23 Listed $75,000 ABOR
  • 2024-04-08 Listed $70,000 ABOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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