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4628 W Leon Ter
B- Composite 68.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$152,000

4628 W Leon Ter · Milwaukee, WI 53216
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,641 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1926 5,227 sqft lot Est $210k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1926

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $152k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $152k implies a 656% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $149,720 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.50%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,048
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3615 N 50th St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,618 (-1%) 0mo $159,900 $99 75
4032 N 42nd St 0.38mi 4/1.5 1,554 (-5%) 2mo $225,000 $145 70
4341 N 48th St 0.57mi 4/2.5 1,675 (+2%) 1mo $255,000 $152 63
4109 N 40th St 0.50mi 4/3.0 1,597 (-3%) 1mo $245,000 $153 63
5320 W Melvina St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+5%) 2mo $222,000 $128 60
3628 N 38th St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,584 (-4%) 0mo $175,000 $110 60
4219 N 51 Blvd 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,488 (-9%) 1mo $110,000 $74 51
3901 N 37th St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-9%) 0mo $162,500 $108 48
3880 N 58th Blvd 0.67mi 4/3.0 1,508 (-8%) 1mo $299,000 $198 47
3739 N 58th Blvd 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,718 (+5%) 2mo $257,000 $150 45
3724 N 37th St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-12%) 0mo $175,000 $122 40
3215 N 47th St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,840 (+12%) 1mo $200,000 $109 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.33% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$28,989
Equity at exit
$54,504
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$108,742
Equity at exit
$74,496

Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53216

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,608 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$797
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,726/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,271
Max offer price $152,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,000
Closing costs
$4,560
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 44d 1 0.33mi
4139 N 50th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1275 $1,600 $1.25 44d 1 0.38mi
3155 N 52nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 44d 1 0.86mi
3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 24d 1 0.90mi
3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1323 $1,495 $1.13 4d 1 0.91mi
4079 N 63rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,595 $1.00 20d 1 1.00mi
2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,300 $0.76 17d 1 1.02mi
4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,850 $1.76 44d 1 1.04mi
3012 N 57th St Unit Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,398 $1.24 4d 1 1.15mi
2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.5 1098 $1,595 $1.45 2d 1 1.31mi
3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 4d 1 1.36mi
2713 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,350 $0.93 44d 1 1.37mi
2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI 5.0 2.0 1856 $2,500 $1.35 24d 1 1.38mi
4900 N 58th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1455 $1,450 $1.00 4d 1 1.44mi
2629 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.47mi
2629 N 50th St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,375 $1.09 3d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    days on market $152,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $152,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $152,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $152,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $152,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $152,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $152,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $152,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $152,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $152,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  12. 2026-04-01
    listed $152,000 Active
  13. 2023-03-01
    historical 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  14. 2023-01-03
    price $90,000 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  15. 2022-12-15
    status Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  16. 2022-12-14
    status Pending 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  17. 2022-12-02
    price $100,000 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  18. 2022-12-02
    status Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  19. 2022-11-14
    historical Contingent 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  20. 2022-10-29
    listed $115,000 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Cozy 4 bedroom, 1 bath home just ready for a first time home owner or an ambitious investor. This home sits on a big lot so bring your ideas. Neighboring shopping, recreation, schools and access to major free-ways makes this home even more attractive. Property is being sold as-is.

  21. 2014-08-30
    listed $16,900 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    We are at multi-offer procedure; please submit highest and best by 9/19/11 at 5:00 p. m. Multi form can be found in MLS Docs. Milwaukee bungalow with 4 bedrooms. Home has a living room/dining room combo with built-in china cabinet. Property sold AS-IS and is in need of some repairs. The # of rooms and room measurements were provided by a third party and have not been verified. Tax bill states property has 2 bedrooms.

  22. 2014-08-30
    historical 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    We are at multi-offer procedure; please submit highest and best by 9/19/11 at 5:00 p. m. Multi form can be found in MLS Docs. Milwaukee bungalow with 4 bedrooms. Home has a living room/dining room combo with built-in china cabinet. Property sold AS-IS and is in need of some repairs. The # of rooms and room measurements were provided by a third party and have not been verified. Tax bill states property has 2 bedrooms.

  23. 2011-10-25
    soldstatus $20,100 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    We are at multi-offer procedure; please submit highest and best by 9/19/11 at 5:00 p. m. Multi form can be found in MLS Docs. Milwaukee bungalow with 4 bedrooms. Home has a living room/dining room combo with built-in china cabinet. Property sold AS-IS and is in need of some repairs. The # of rooms and room measurements were provided by a third party and have not been verified. Tax bill states property has 2 bedrooms.

  24. 1988-10-01
    soldstatus $31,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,726 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,269 · $189/mo
Expected delta
+$543/yr (+$45/mo · 31.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,296
− Mortgage interest
−$8,514
− Property taxes
−$1,726
− Insurance
−$760
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,544
− Management
−$1,544
− Depreciation
−$4,422
Taxable income
$786
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$189
After-tax cash flow
$3,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
30,345
Household income
$46,752
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.33%
Current HPI
381.0954
Rent YoY
▲ 7.01%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+390.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Pending METROMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $152,000 METROMLS
  • 2023-03-01 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2023-01-03 Price Changed $90,000 METROMLS
  • 2022-12-15 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2022-12-14 Pending METROMLS
  • 2022-12-02 Price Changed $100,000 METROMLS
  • 2022-12-02 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2022-11-14 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2022-10-29 Listed $115,000 METROMLS
  • 2014-08-30 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2014-08-30 Listed $16,900 METROMLS
  • 2011-10-25 Sold (MLS) $20,100 METROMLS
  • 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,726 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…