2512 Roseville Rd · Glasgow, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Dont let this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath home get away! This home is just outside the city limits, but with a country feel. Whether you are looking for a starter home for your family or a place to start the next chapter of life, this home is waiting for you.
Key facts
- Full basement
- 0.61 acre lot
- Built 1940
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane fuel
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.4% in Glasgow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in KY, #3,738 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Barren County (rural): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #52 of 165 in KY (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 283 units permitted in Barren County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barren County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $154.78M (100%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.66%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,031
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $13,035
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42141
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 298
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $294 | -5% $258 | +0% $223 | +5% $188 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $118 | -5% $171 | +0% $223 | +5% $276 | +10% $328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $286 | -0.5pp $255 | base $223 | +0.5pp $191 | +1.0pp $158 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-16price $124,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $129,900
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2026-05-08status Active
-
2026-04-11price $137,500
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2026-03-19price $142,500
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2026-02-17price $150,000
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2026-01-12price $154,900
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2026-01-11$154,900,000 Active
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2022-06-10soldstatus $144,500 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Dont let this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath home get away! This home is just outside the city limits, but with a country feel. Whether you are looking for a starter home for your family or a place to start the next chapter of life, this home is waiting for you.
-
2022-06-10soldstatus $144,500
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Dont let this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath home get away! This home is just outside the city limits, but with a country feel. Whether you are looking for a starter home for your family or a place to start the next chapter of life, this home is waiting for you.
-
2022-04-03$154,900 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
Dont let this charming 4 bedroom 2 bath home get away! This home is just outside the city limits, but with a country feel. Whether you are looking for a starter home for your family or a place to start the next chapter of life, this home is waiting for you.
-
2009-11-16soldstatus $70,000
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2007-07-17soldstatus $54,110
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2006-06-08soldstatus $64,735
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2005-02-11soldstatus $60,000
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2001-04-30soldstatus $54,500
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2000-06-26soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,418
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $704
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$169
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,509/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barren County
- NCES district ID
- 2100300
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,000
- Composite
- 31.08/100
- National rank
- #6077
- State rank
- #52 of 165 in KY
Livability — Glasgow
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #3738
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,133
Population outlook (Barren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,858 people
- By 2030
- 48,311 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 50,931 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 52,820 · +12.7%
- By 2075
- 56,499 · +20.6%
- By 2100
- 55,831 · +19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Barren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.8) · D 23.1% · R 75.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.9pp · 2024: -52.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.8 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.48%
- Current HPI
- 278.8778
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+149.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $129,900 HKARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — HKARMLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $137,500 HKARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $142,500 HKARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $150,000 HKARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $154,900 HKARMLS
- 2026-01-11 Listed $154,900,000 HKARMLS
- 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $144,500 Public Records
- 2022-06-10 Sold (MLS) $144,500 RASKMLS
- 2022-04-03 Listed $154,900 RASKMLS
- 2009-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $54,110 Public Records
- 2006-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $64,735 Public Records
- 2005-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 2000-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,418 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…