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Lot 20 County Road 76 Rd
B- Composite 69.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

Lot 20 County Road 76 Rd · Cohasset, MN 55744
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 1993 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Pokegama Lake Lovers!! Don't miss this opportunity to embrace lakeside living with this spacious 3 bedroom 1993 Marshfield home located within Lakeview Terrace Community. Owner recently updated the main bath with a walk-in shower and replaced all windows with the exception of the front bow window. Enjoy 10 1/2 x 12 deck, 14 x 10 storage shed.

Key facts

  • Built 1993
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees (N/A)

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Shared system and well water; Private sewer / shared septic; 100 Amp electrical service; Natural gas
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (one level); Residential property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Concrete perimeter foundation; Other construction materials; Foundation dimensions approx. 16 x 74
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; Storage shed; Accessible shoreline; Deeded shared lake access with lake view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (approx. 14.5 x 18.5); Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level; Bedroom sizes (approx.): 12.5 x 12; 11.5 x 9; 9.5 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One main-floor 3/4 bathroom (approx. 10.5 x 11.5)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: All living facilities on one level; Main floor laundry; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Main level laundry; Water softener (owned)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#398 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Grand Rapids Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 301 in MN (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Robert J. Elkington Middle School (math 47% / reading 59%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 747 students, 45% FRL); Grand Rapids Senior High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #35 of 471 statewide, top 8%, 1,129 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
25.24%
Cash-on-cash
67.67%
DSCR
4.01
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.0%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$42,117
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
71.3%
Equity multiple
8.26×
Total profit
$101,378
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55744

Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $822 -5% $805 +0% $788 +5% $771 +10% $753
Rent -10% $675 -5% $731 +0% $788 +5% $845 +10% $901
Rate -1.0pp $813 -0.5pp $801 base $788 +0.5pp $775 +1.0pp $762

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $49,900 Active 345-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    historical $49,900 345-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,206
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$9,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,210
After-tax cash flow
$7,245/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires extensive repairs and updates to its roof, exterior, flooring, and interior walls, but has potential for significant value increase with proper renovations.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The satellite image shows a large section of the roof is missing.
  • Major exterior siding — The siding is weathered and the paint is peeling.
  • Major flooring — The carpet is worn and stained.
  • Major interior walls — The walls are bare and show signs of wear and tear.
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — The fixtures and tiles appear dated.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale repair roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Resale repair exterior siding and paint — A fresh coat of paint and new siding will enhance the home's curb appeal.
  • Resale replace carpet — New carpet will improve the living room and dining area's appearance and comfort.
  • Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint will brighten the interior and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale replace bathroom fixtures — New fixtures will modernize the bathroom and make it more attractive to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · The satellite image shows a large section of the roof is missing. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · The siding is weathered and the paint is peeling. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · The carpet is worn and stained. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · The walls are bare and show signs of wear and tear. Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · The fixtures and tiles appear dated. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $60,500–203,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale repair roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Resale repair exterior siding and paint — A fresh coat of paint and new siding will enhance the home's curb appeal.
  • Resale replace carpet — New carpet will improve the living room and dining area's appearance and comfort.
  • Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint will brighten the interior and make it more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Resale replace bathroom fixtures — New fixtures will modernize the bathroom and make it more attractive to potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Rapids Public School District
NCES district ID
2713170
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,762
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3077
State rank
#119 of 301 in MN

Livability — Cohasset

Score
68/100
State rank
#398
US rank
#9364

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cohasset, MN
City population
3,840
Population (ZIP)
20,469

Population outlook (Itasca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,885 people
By 2030
45,890 · +0.0%
By 2040
45,171 · -1.6%
By 2050
43,946 · -4.2%
By 2075
40,950 · -10.8%
By 2100
34,909 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Native American 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Itasca

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.2) · D 39.1% · R 59.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -20.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.2 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+16.5 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.16%
Current HPI
166.6788
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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