361 Henn Hyde Rd NE · Howland Center, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Diamond in the rough. Some projects started, none finished. Sold "As Is".
Key facts
- 2 acres
- Detached garage
- 2.07 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached front-facing garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Fixer condition
- Construction: Block foundation; Block and vinyl siding construction; Fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Back yard; Near golf course; Wooded lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement with dirt floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.9% in Howland Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#207 in OH, #3,283 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Howland Local (suburban): math 59% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #260 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $139k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,813
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $14,267
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44484
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,441/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $326 | -5% $286 | +0% $247 | +5% $208 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $131 | -5% $189 | +0% $247 | +5% $305 | +10% $362 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $317 | -0.5pp $282 | base $247 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $174 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 180-char remark
-
2026-06-15$139,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,441 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$364/yr (+$30/mo · 25.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,441
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $756
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$181
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,781/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howland Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905016
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,022
- Composite
- 52.63/100
- National rank
- #1556
- State rank
- #260 of 656 in OH
Livability — Howland Center
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #207
- US rank
- #3283
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Trumbull · 193,293 people
- City population
- 21,634
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,634
- Household income
- $65,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.7
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.24%
- Current HPI
- 217.6603
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+561.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $139,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-22 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-05-27 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-05-10 Listed $80,000 MLSNOW
- 2000-03-10 Listed $55,000 MLSNOW
- 1997-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 1996-12-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1996-03-26 Listed $100,000 MLSNOW
- 1988-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
- 1986-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,441 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…