6057 Morning Glory Cir · El Paso, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into opportunity! This charming half-duplex is a golden investment find, perfect for savvy buyers or anyone ready to roll up their sleeves! Boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and endless potential, this fixer-upper is nestled in a prime locale. Don't just invest--imagine the future you can build here! Book your tour today!
Key facts
- 3,503 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1981
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($536/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (1.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Ysleta ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #626 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dolphin Terrace El (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,396 of 4,322 statewide, top 56%, 457 students, 71% FRL); Parkland Pre-Engineering Middle (math 17% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 1,166 students, 83% FRL); Parkland H S (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #941 of 1,632 statewide, top 58%, 1,674 students, 71% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $145k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.32%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-18,392
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,803
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79924
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $86 | +0% $45 | +5% $4 | +10% $-37 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-68 | -5% $-12 | +0% $45 | +5% $101 | +10% $158 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $118 | -0.5pp $82 | base $45 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-31 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5945 Tautoga Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6262 Woodrow Bean Transmountain Unit 2 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $1,345 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 10028 Cross St El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1230 | $1,599 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 10021 Railroad Dr #402 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 10125 Racoon Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10051 Railroad Dr Unit 202 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $975 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10051 Railroad Dr #802 El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1189 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10051 Railroad Dr Unit 502 El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1168 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10051 Railroad Dr Unit 704 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $975 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10051 Railroad Dr Unit 704 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $975 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5724 Saluki Dr Unit B El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,325 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9779 McCombs St Unit A-8 El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,495 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9779 McCombs St Unit A-3 El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,495 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9779 McCombs St Apt E4 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10202 Niagara Falls Pl El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1077 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10208 Niagara Falls Pl El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5947 Deer Ave El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5944 Bridalveil Dr El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5516 Fairbanks Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5613 Creston Ave El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,550 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5912 Cielo Del Rey Pl Unit B El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5916 Cielo Del Rey Pl Unit A El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1165 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5904 Cielo Del Rey Pl Unit A El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1165 | $1,395 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5732 Arrowhead Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5741 Arrowhead Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,175 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5725 Waycross Ave El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,425 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10344 Redwood St El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,275 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Step into opportunity! This charming half-duplex is a golden investment find, perfect for savvy buyers or anyone ready to roll up their sleeves! Boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and endless potential, this fixer-upper is nestled in a prime locale. Don't just invest--imagine the future you can build here! Book your tour today!
-
2026-04-16status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Step into opportunity! This charming half-duplex is a golden investment find, perfect for savvy buyers or anyone ready to roll up their sleeves! Boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and endless potential, this fixer-upper is nestled in a prime locale. Don't just invest--imagine the future you can build here! Book your tour today!
-
2026-04-13status Pending 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Step into opportunity! This charming half-duplex is a golden investment find, perfect for savvy buyers or anyone ready to roll up their sleeves! Boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and endless potential, this fixer-upper is nestled in a prime locale. Don't just invest--imagine the future you can build here! Book your tour today!
-
2026-04-06$145,000 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Step into opportunity! This charming half-duplex is a golden investment find, perfect for savvy buyers or anyone ready to roll up their sleeves! Boasting 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and endless potential, this fixer-upper is nestled in a prime locale. Don't just invest--imagine the future you can build here! Book your tour today!
-
2018-12-07historical
-
2018-12-06historical
-
2017-03-27price $62,000
-
2017-03-20soldstatus
-
2017-01-26status Pending
-
2017-01-21price $62,500
-
2017-01-19status Active
-
2017-01-05status Pending
-
2016-11-08price $62,500
-
2016-10-15$69,000 Active
-
2016-06-09soldstatus
-
2009-08-04$77,500
-
2006-12-13soldstatus
-
2004-09-03soldstatus
-
2001-07-31$41,950
-
1983-03-01soldstatus $44,550
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,159 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,159 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,159
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,823
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$437
- After-tax cash flow
- $973/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ysleta ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846680
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,826
- Composite
- 25.65/100
- National rank
- #7400
- State rank
- #626 of 826 in TX
Livability — El Paso
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #1375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Paso, TX
- County
- El Paso County · 761,266 people
- City population
- 630,223
- Metro
- El Paso, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,364
- Household income
- $56,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1903.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 897,899 people
- By 2030
- 922,694 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 960,492 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 982,919 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 997,266 · +11.1%
- By 2100
- 900,630 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 35% White 16% Black 7% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 56% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.46%
- Current HPI
- 265.8729
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.50%
- Metro
- El Paso, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+225.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — GEPARMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $145,000 GEPARMLS
- 2018-12-07 Listing Removed — GEPARMLS
- 2018-12-06 Listing Removed — GEPARMLS
- 2017-03-27 Price Changed $62,000 GEPARMLS
- 2017-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-01-26 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2017-01-21 Price Changed $62,500 GEPARMLS
- 2017-01-19 Relisted — GEPARMLS
- 2017-01-05 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2016-11-08 Price Changed $62,500 GEPARMLS
- 2016-10-15 Listed $69,000 GEPARMLS
- 2016-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-08-04 Listed $77,500 GEPARMLS
- 2006-12-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-09-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-07-31 Listed $41,950 GEPARMLS
- 1983-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,550 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,159 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…