14480 E Spur N · Stockton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
Key facts
- 0.71 acre lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Private water source; Septic tank; Propane service
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Exterior features: Located on a county road; Approximately 0.71 acre lot; Subdivision: ACREAGE STOCKTON
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level living
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Stockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#456 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Stockton R-I (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #77 of 324 in MO (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stockton Elem. (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #159 of 1,115 statewide, top 16%, 359 students, 49% FRL); Stockton Middle (math 40% / reading 47%, grade D, #127 of 391 statewide, top 34%, 277 students, 42% FRL); Stockton High (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 285 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Cedar County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $85,729
- Equity at exit
- $126,123
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.25×
- Total profit
- $244,819
- Equity at exit
- $271,989
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65785
- Home prices YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $449/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-05-18$140,000 Active
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2026-04-26price $160,000
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2026-02-16price $170,000
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2025-09-30price $190,000
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2025-09-02$200,000 Active
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2024-01-18soldstatus
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2024-01-09soldstatus Closed 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
-
2024-01-09soldstatus
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
-
2023-11-30status Pending 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
-
2023-08-29status Active 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
-
2023-08-29price $180,000 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
-
2023-08-08historical 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
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2023-07-07$210,000 Active 1325-char remark
Show marketing remark (1325 chars)
What an amazing opportunity this property has to offer. A residential home on an over sized lot, a commercial building and just steps away from Sac River. This unique home built in 1920 has 1 bedroom, 2 non-conforming bedrooms, a full bath with cast iron tub, large kitchen & dining area and a mud room. The sellers have done some amazing things to this home including; metal roof, fresh paint, adding a driveway with a spot to park a trailer, and built a chicken coop in the back part of the metal building outside that includes a run. Along with all the fruit bushes and trees they have planted and grown. Next door you will find the 2,800 sqft M/L commercial building that until recently was being used as a Law Office. Also built in 1920 with 1 bathroom and has updated HVAC, this building is ready for its next owner. Within just walking distance to the Historic Caplinger Mills Dam and Steel Span Bridge that over looks the breathtaking Sac River this is a one in a million property with so much potential. This area has experienced a lot of growth in the recent years, from camping and fishing to floating the river. You would be purchasing your own river oasis and the option to have your own storefront for your business as well. Being only 10 minuets from Stockton, the options with this property are endless.
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2023-03-16status Active
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2023-03-09status Pending
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2023-01-18price $145,000
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2023-01-02status Active
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2023-01-01historical
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2022-10-19price $144,500
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2022-08-20$149,500 Active
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2022-08-17$149,500 Active
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2021-11-29soldstatus
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2021-11-29soldstatus
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2021-01-14$119,900
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2017-05-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $449 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,358 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$909/yr (+$76/mo · 202.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,883
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$449
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,191
- − Management
- −$1,191
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$562
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stockton R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2929520
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,609
- Composite
- 39.32/100
- National rank
- #3989
- State rank
- #77 of 324 in MO
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #18379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,538
Population outlook (Cedar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,424 people
- By 2030
- 13,080 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 12,434 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 11,841 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 10,171 · -24.2%
- By 2100
- 7,744 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cedar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.6) · D 14.8% · R 84.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -69.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.6 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+47.0 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.72%
- Current HPI
- 293.8984
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+16.8% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $140,000 SOMO
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $160,000 SOMO
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $170,000 SOMO
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $190,000 SOMO
- 2025-09-02 Listed $200,000 SOMO
- 2024-01-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-01-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-01-09 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2023-11-30 Pending — SOMO
- 2023-08-29 Relisted — SOMO
- 2023-08-29 Price Changed $180,000 SOMO
- 2023-08-08 Delisted — SOMO
- 2023-07-07 Listed $210,000 SOMO
- 2023-03-16 Relisted — SOMO
- 2023-03-09 Pending — SOMO
- 2023-01-18 Price Changed $145,000 SOMO
- 2023-01-02 Relisted — SOMO
- 2023-01-01 Delisted — SOMO
- 2022-10-19 Price Changed $144,500 WCAR
- 2022-08-20 Listed $149,500 SOMO
- 2022-08-17 Listed $149,500 WCAR
- 2021-11-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
- 2021-01-14 Listed $119,900 SOMO
- 2017-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2024): $449 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…