2129 Wilkinson Dr · Blythewood, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,998
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE DROP ALERT! This is a fantastic deal for someone! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained property with a NEW roof and NEW HVAC in the desirable Brookhaven subdivision! Enjoy this home with 4 spacious bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, offering a functional layout perfect for comfortable living and with no back neighbors for added privacy. You will love the flow of the main living areas. Some of the recent updates include a brand-new roof, brand new HVAC, fresh interior paint, new flooring, all new toilets, all new ceiling fans, new fixtures, new range and dishwasher…all making this home truly move-in ready. Situated on a flat lot, the property boasts a 2-car garage and a 12 x 14 bac
Key facts
- 12 x 14 back patio
- New hvac
- Flat lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association; Association maintains common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (main level)
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Storm doors
- Home design: Two-story single-family home
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Patio; Paved road access; Vinyl exterior finish
Interior
- Kitchen: Bar and eat-in space; Pantry; Stained wood cabinets; Tiled backsplash; Luxury vinyl plank floors; Built-in range with counter cooktop, smooth surface and self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Microwave above stove; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Master suite with double vanity, garden tub, separate shower, his-and-hers closet, walk-in closet, vaulted ceiling, ceiling fan, and carpeted floors (located on second level); Bedroom 2 with shared bath, walk-in closet, tub/shower, ceiling fan and carpeted floors (second level); Bedroom 3 with shared bath, walk-in closet, tub/shower, ceiling fan and carpeted floors (second level); Bedroom 4 with shared bath, tub/shower, ceiling fan and carpeted floors (second level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank on main living areas; Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic storage with attic access; Ceiling fans throughout; Owned security system; Smoke detectors; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Electric hookups; Heated laundry space / mud room; Washer and dryer located on second level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $238k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#58 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sandlapper Elementary (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 656 students, 71% FRL); Blythewood High (math 72% / reading 92%, grade A, #19 of 196 statewide, top 10%, 2,094 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 38% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.02%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-27,110
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-5,712
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29229
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 406
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,720/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$19
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $391 | -5% $318 | +0% $244 | +5% $170 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $56 | -5% $150 | +0% $244 | +5% $338 | +10% $432 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $375 | -0.5pp $310 | base $244 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $108 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 Meyer Ln Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2184 | $2,349 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2108 Wilkinson Dr Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2181 | $2,139 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 61 Bluebead Ct Columbia, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $2,249 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 25 Oak Lake Ct Blythewood, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $2,050 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2 Knot Ct Blythewood, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2004 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $19 · $228/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Active - Contingent
-
2026-04-17price $259,998
-
2026-04-13price $259,999
-
2026-04-10price $260,000
-
2026-04-09$264,999 Active
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-06price $265,000
-
2026-04-06price $267,999
-
2026-04-04price $268,000
-
2026-04-04price $268,500
-
2026-04-03price $268,992
-
2026-03-31price $268,993
-
2026-03-26$268,994 Active
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2026-03-20price $268,994
-
2026-03-12$268,995 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,720 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,720 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$1,720
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − HOA
- −$228
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$1,412
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$339
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 02
- NCES district ID
- 4503390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,684
- Composite
- 36.2/100
- National rank
- #4730
- State rank
- #29 of 80 in SC
Livability — Blythewood
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #7406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Richland County · 389,530 people
- City population
- 30,454
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,861
- Household income
- $74,043
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1939.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 24% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.11%
- Current HPI
- 186.782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-3.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $259,998 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $259,999 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $260,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $264,999 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-09 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $265,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $267,999 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $268,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $268,500 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $268,992 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $268,993 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $268,994 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-26 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $268,994 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $268,995 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,720 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…