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161 Beaver Trl
C- Composite 53.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

161 Beaver Trl · Mount Pocono, PA 18355
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1965 0.27 ac lot $87/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully Renovated Raised Ranch with Extra Large Garage and Game Room. Discover a hidden gem in an unexpected location! This extraordinary 3-bedroom, 1-bath raised ranch has undergone a complete transformation, offering an abundance of exciting features. Step inside and experience the remarkable renovation that awaits you. Stylish and contemporary bathroom with modern fixtures Expansive garage with room for multiple vehicles. Bonus game room for endless fun. Convenient half bath in the garage. The extra-large garage is a car enthusiast's dream come true, offering space for vehicles, storage, and a workshop area. While the location may not be the most desired, this property's remarkable renovations make this an opportunity you don't want to miss! Measurements taken from tax record

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Dream workshop
  • Updated full bath

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDMODERN KITCHENUPDATED FULL BATHEXPANSIVE WRAP-AROUND PORCHDETACHED 2-STORY GARAGEDREAM WORKSHOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Road maintained privately; Lot size about 0.27 acres; Subdivision: Pocono Mt Cliffside Civic
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association required; Annual association fee of $1,040 (includes snow removal)

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage (2 spaces); Driveway; Garage faces side; Heated garage; Workshop in garage
  • Security: Security features: see remarks
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electrical service; Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential / Investment use; Zoned residential
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Construction materials: see remarks; Partially finished basement; Year built not specified
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Fire pit; Patio; Wrap-around porch; Fencing (see remarks)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Other appliance(s) listed
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5 (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wood stove
  • Interior features: See remarks listed by seller; Unfurnished; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Basement with sump pump (partially finished, concrete)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $166k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $223,084 (0.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.14%
Cash-on-cash
3.04%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,576
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Blue Jay Trl 0.16mi 1/1.0 (-1) 648 (-4%) 17mo $70,000 $108 67
130 Buck Fever Trl 0.15mi 2/1.0 740 (+10%) 24mo $55,000 $74 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$19,892
Equity at exit
$82,622
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$79,777
Equity at exit
$114,439

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18355

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,906/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$87
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,029
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$87 · $1,044/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    remarks 695-char remark
  7. 2026-06-07
    listed $225,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,906 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,231 · $269/mo
Expected delta
+$324/yr (+$27/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,770
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,906
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,142
− Management
−$2,142
− HOA
−$1,044
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$1,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$2,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,628

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Armenian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Vietnamese 6% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.49%
Current HPI
191.1566
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $225,000 PMAR
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $205,000 PMAR
  • 2023-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-11 Sold (MLS) $166,000 PMAR
  • 2023-05-25 Listed $175,000 PMAR
  • 2018-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-25 Sold (MLS) $26,000 PMAR
  • 2018-09-25 Listed $34,900 PMAR
  • 2018-07-25 Listed $34,900 PMAR
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $2,604 Public Records
  • 2015-07-23 Listed $38,000 PMAR
  • 1990-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
  • 1987-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,906 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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