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4400 Ivy Fork Dr
D- Composite 37.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$335,000

4400 Ivy Fork Dr · Snellville, GA 30052
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 2005 5,662 sqft lot $177/sqft · 6% below area Est $363k · 8% under $23/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Cozy fireplace
  • Patio

Tags

COZY FIREPLACESEPARATE TUB AND SHOWERPATIOFRESH PAINTPARTIAL FLOORING REPLACEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (12.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (29.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Snellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#169 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,664 (29.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.06%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$363,266
List price
$335,000
Delta
-7.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4245 Rosebud Rd 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,659 (-12%) 5mo $410,000 $247 59
2250 Rosewood Mill Ct 0.42mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,012 (+6%) 16mo $290,000 $144 52
1987 Lenora Rd 0.41mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,880 (-1%) 23mo $598,000 $318 51
2060 Pate Ridge Dr 0.58mi 4/3.0 2,021 (+7%) 13mo $390,000 $193 49
4373 Prather Pass Dr 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,834 (-3%) 23mo $345,000 $188 43
1735 Knight Cir 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,633 (-14%) 3mo $320,000 $196 36
1675 Knight Cir 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,170 (+14%) 5mo $259,000 $119 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-69,334
Equity at exit
$49,950
10-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-79,197
Equity at exit
$28,965

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30052

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
858
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,367 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$23
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$-239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,670
Max offer price $292,718
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-50 -5% $-145 +0% $-239 +5% $-334 +10% $-429
Rent -10% $-426 -5% $-333 +0% $-239 +5% $-146 +10% $-52
Rate -1.0pp $-71 -0.5pp $-154 base $-239 +0.5pp $-326 +1.0pp $-414

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3888 Moos Creek Walk Loganville, GA 3.0 2.5 1580 $1,950 $1.23 6d 1 0.98mi
3710 Michaels Creek Way Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,879 $1.24 45d 1 1.02mi
4192 Alaina Ave Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 1495 $1,895 $1.27 20d 1 1.02mi
3885 Marham Park Cir Loganville, GA 4.0 3.0 2532 $2,429 $0.96 45d 1 1.04mi
1564 Fredricksberg Dr Loganville, GA 3.0 3.0 2505 $1,200 $0.48 3d 1 1.21mi
1672 Walters Park Ct Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 1649 $1,950 $1.18 45d 1 1.28mi
4208 Webb Meadows Dr Loganville, GA 4.0 2.5 2616 $2,071 $0.79 14d 1 1.29mi
3908 Rosebud Rd Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 2052 $2,000 $0.97 6d 1 1.29mi
4408 Webb Meadows Dr Loganville, GA 4.0 2.5 2512 $2,200 $0.88 18d 1 1.33mi
3843 Rustic Barn Way Loganville, GA 4.0 2.5 2558 $2,350 $0.92 0d 1 1.40mi
3843 Rustic Barn Way Loganville, GA 4.0 2.5 2558 $2,350 $0.92 25d 1 1.40mi
6050 Fieldwood Ln Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 1659 $2,069 $1.25 4d 1 1.43mi
1701 Rose Garden Ln Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,950 $1.45 0d 1 1.49mi
1826 Temple Park Dr Loganville, GA 3.0 2.0 1974 $2,095 $1.06 6d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$23 · $276/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    price $335,000 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  2. 2026-05-07
    price $335,000 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  3. 2026-03-05
    listed $341,000 New 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  4. 2026-03-05
    listed $341,000 Active 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  5. 2026-02-20
    soldstatus $317,300
  6. 2005-08-02
    soldstatus $169,900
  7. 2004-07-27
    soldstatus $1,082,400
  8. 2004-06-17
    soldstatus $5,477,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,276 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,082 · $257/mo
Expected delta
+$806/yr (+$67/mo · 35.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,400
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$2,276
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,272
− Management
−$2,272
− HOA
−$276
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$8,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,132
After-tax cash flow
$-741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gwinnett County
NCES district ID
1302550
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$62,416
Composite
36.5/100
National rank
#4648
State rank
#32 of 174 in GA

Livability — Snellville

Score
67/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#10705

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Walton County · 128,246 people
City population
94,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,811
Household income
$93,764
Rent vs Own
19.3% rent · 80.7% own
Severe rent burden
1174.0

Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,106,028 people
By 2030
1,211,414 · +9.5%
By 2040
1,422,277 · +28.6%
By 2050
1,623,204 · +46.8%
By 2075
2,105,240 · +90.3%
By 2100
2,443,321 · +120.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett

2024 margin
D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.77%
Current HPI
212.1241
Rent YoY
▲ 3.12%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-93.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $335,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $335,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $341,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $341,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $317,300 Public Records
  • 2005-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
  • 2004-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $1,082,400 Public Records
  • 2004-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $5,477,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2019): $2,276 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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