4400 Ivy Fork Dr · Snellville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Cozy fireplace
- Patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (12.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (29.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $237k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Snellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#169 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.06%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,266
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -7.78%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4245 Rosebud Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,659 (-12%) | 5mo | $410,000 | $247 | 59 |
| 2250 Rosewood Mill Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,012 (+6%) | 16mo | $290,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 1987 Lenora Rd | 0.41mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,880 (-1%) | 23mo | $598,000 | $318 | 51 |
| 2060 Pate Ridge Dr | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,021 (+7%) | 13mo | $390,000 | $193 | 49 |
| 4373 Prather Pass Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,834 (-3%) | 23mo | $345,000 | $188 | 43 |
| 1735 Knight Cir | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,633 (-14%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $196 | 36 |
| 1675 Knight Cir | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,170 (+14%) | 5mo | $259,000 | $119 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-69,334
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-79,197
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30052
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 858
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,367 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$23
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $-239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-50 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-239 | +5% $-334 | +10% $-429 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-426 | -5% $-333 | +0% $-239 | +5% $-146 | +10% $-52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-71 | -0.5pp $-154 | base $-239 | +0.5pp $-326 | +1.0pp $-414 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3888 Moos Creek Walk Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3710 Michaels Creek Way Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,879 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4192 Alaina Ave Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,895 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3885 Marham Park Cir Loganville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2532 | $2,429 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1564 Fredricksberg Dr Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2505 | $1,200 | $0.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1672 Walters Park Ct Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $1,950 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4208 Webb Meadows Dr Loganville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2616 | $2,071 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3908 Rosebud Rd Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2052 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4408 Webb Meadows Dr Loganville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2512 | $2,200 | $0.88 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3843 Rustic Barn Way Loganville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2558 | $2,350 | $0.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3843 Rustic Barn Way Loganville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2558 | $2,350 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 6050 Fieldwood Ln Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $2,069 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1701 Rose Garden Ln Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,950 | $1.45 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1826 Temple Park Dr Loganville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,095 | $1.06 | 6d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $23 · $276/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-07price $335,000 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-05-07price $335,000 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-03-05$341,000 New 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-03-05$341,000 Active 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
Welcome to 4400 Ivy Fork Dr, a home that exudes warmth and comfort. The centerpiece of the living room is a cozy fireplace, perfect for those chilly evenings. The primary bathroom is a haven of relaxation, boasting a separate tub and shower for your convenience. Step outside to the patio, a perfect spot for your morning coffee or evening relaxation. The interior of the home has been refreshed with fresh paint, giving it a clean and modern feel. Additionally, partial flooring replacement has been done, enhancing the overall aesthetic of the home. This property is a perfect blend of comfort and style, waiting for you to make it your own.. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-02-20soldstatus $317,300
-
2005-08-02soldstatus $169,900
-
2004-07-27soldstatus $1,082,400
-
2004-06-17soldstatus $5,477,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,276 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,082 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$806/yr (+$67/mo · 35.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$2,276
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,272
- − Management
- −$2,272
- − HOA
- −$276
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$8,882
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $-741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gwinnett County
- NCES district ID
- 1302550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,416
- Composite
- 36.5/100
- National rank
- #4648
- State rank
- #32 of 174 in GA
Livability — Snellville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #10705
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 128,246 people
- City population
- 94,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,811
- Household income
- $93,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1174.0
Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,106,028 people
- By 2030
- 1,211,414 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 1,422,277 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 1,623,204 · +46.8%
- By 2075
- 2,105,240 · +90.3%
- By 2100
- 2,443,321 · +120.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.77%
- Current HPI
- 212.1241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-93.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $335,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $335,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $341,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $341,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $317,300 Public Records
- 2005-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2004-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $1,082,400 Public Records
- 2004-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $5,477,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2019): $2,276 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…