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2501 Tilton Rd #121
C+ Composite 62.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

2501 Tilton Rd #121 · Pomona, NJ 08234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily · 45 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition $126/sqft · 25% above area Est $92k · 25% over ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully redone 2 year old unit available in Steeple chase family park in Egg Harbor Township. Three bedrooms, one bath. livingroom, eat in kitchen. all new appliances and a new shed.

Key facts

  • Redone unit
  • New appliances
  • New shed

Tags

REDONE UNITNEW APPLIANCESNEW SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual ground rent listed under income/expense
  • HOA & community: Land lease: $895 monthly; Land lease years remaining: 1; Land lease exists / ground rent exists

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Electric available; Propane available; Cable TV available; Water average about $30/month
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Combination construction; Above-grade living space (estimated 910 finished)
  • Construction: Combination construction materials; Above grade additional structures; Effective/major remodel year 2025; Year built estimated
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (owned) fuel; Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 4.6% in Pomona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#441 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Egg Harbor Township School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #311 of 472 in NJ (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 357 active listings in the ZIP; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $111,453 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.20%
Cash-on-cash
38.95%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,742
List price
$114,900
Delta
25.24%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2501 Tilton Rd #113 0.04mi 3/1.0 910 (0%) 10mo $90,000 $99 90
2501 Tilton Rd #323 0.04mi 3/1.0 960 (+6%) 2mo $94,000 $98 88
2501 Tilton Rd #312 0.04mi 2/1.5 (-1) 864 (-5%) 1mo $86,000 $100 82
2501 Tilton Rd #319 0.04mi 3/2.0 960 (+6%) 14mo $70,000 $73 74
2528 Tilton Rd #421 0.50mi 2/1.5 (-1) 900 (-1%) 3mo $60,000 $67 66
2501 Tilton Rd #314 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 800 (-12%) 3mo $92,500 $116 66
2501 Tilton Rd Unit 411 0.04mi 3/2.0 990 (+9%) 21mo $95,000 $96 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$47,918
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
4.96×
Total profit
$127,501
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08234

Home prices YoY
-6.7%
Active inventory
357
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,327 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$489
Net cashflow
$1,044

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,124 -5% $1,084 +0% $1,044 +5% $1,004 +10% $965
Rent -10% $860 -5% $952 +0% $1,044 +5% $1,136 +10% $1,228
Rate -1.0pp $1,102 -0.5pp $1,073 base $1,044 +0.5pp $1,014 +1.0pp $984

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,900 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $119,900 Active 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Beautifully redone 2 year old unit available in Steeple chase family park in Egg Harbor Township. Three bedrooms, one bath. livingroom, eat in kitchen. all new appliances and a new shed.

  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $119,900 Active 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Beautifully redone 2 year old unit available in Steeple chase family park in Egg Harbor Township. Three bedrooms, one bath. livingroom, eat in kitchen. all new appliances and a new shed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,922
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,724
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,234
− Management
−$2,234
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$11,378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,731
After-tax cash flow
$9,799/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both New flooring — Enhances interior aesthetics and resale value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both New flooring — Enhances interior aesthetics and resale value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Egg Harbor Township School District
NCES district ID
3404560
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$71,612
Composite
29.81/100
National rank
#6421
State rank
#311 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Pomona

Score
62/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#16217

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
46,856

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Black 9% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.76%
Current HPI
319.2948
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $114,900 MOMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 MOMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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