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23326 Spring Genesis Ln
D- Composite 39.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

23326 Spring Genesis Ln · Houston, TX 77493
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,544 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 4,917 sqft lot $118/sqft · 12% below area Est $339k · 12% under $63/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your stunning 5-bedroom home zoned to the highly acclaimed Katy ISD and offers a blend of modern style and functional living. TWO bedrooms down. You’ll be greeted by a wide front yard and a light-filled, open-concept floor plan featuring beautiful wood flooring throughout the spacious living area. The chef-inspired kitchen boasts crisp white cabinetry, premium granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with easy access to a massive backyard perfect for entertaining. The primary suite is a private first-floor retreat with peaceful backyard views, while a second downstairs bedroom serves as an ideal home office. Upstairs, discover a huge carpeted game room and three

Key facts

  • Massive backyard
  • 4,917 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANCHEF-INSPIRED KITCHENPREMIUM GRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESMASSIVE BACKYARDPRIVATE FIRST-FLOOR RETREAT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community managed by Spectrum Association Management; Annual association fee of $750

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2023; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Cement siding construction
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced private yard; Back yard fencing; Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Quartz countertops
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First level) — approx. 15x13; Bedroom (First level) — approx. 10x10; Bedroom (Second level) — approx. 10x12; Bedroom (Second level) — approx. 12x10; Bedroom (Second level) — approx. 13x11
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Gas); Central air conditioning (Electric)
  • Interior features: Double vanity in primary bath; Kitchen open to family room; Primary bedroom with attached bath; Quartz countertops; Living room and dining room configuration
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup (laundry/utility details not otherwise specified)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (21.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (6.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Stockdick J H (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 1,313 students, 55% FRL); Paetow H S (math 47% / reading 64%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 3,537 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 27% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,424 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
4.21%
Cash-on-cash
-7.46%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$339,141
List price
$300,000
Delta
-0.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23347 Spring Genesis Ln 0.05mi 5/3.0 2,544 (0%) 8mo $399,999 $157 91
6010 Birchwood Cliff Trl 0.16mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,702 (+6%) 0mo $399,000 $148 75
23214 Penstemon Trl 0.22mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,498 (-2%) 7mo $375,000 $150 74
23010 Needlegrass Rd 0.51mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,493 (-2%) 4mo $365,000 $146 62
23231 Wise Walk Dr 0.14mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,166 (-15%) 2mo $320,000 $148 60
6015 Birchwood Cliff Trl 0.18mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,225 (-12%) 7mo $409,990 $184 56
23838 Northwood Terrace Ln 0.46mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,787 (+10%) 3mo $539,000 $193 54
23110 True Fortune Dr 0.40mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,275 (-11%) 5mo $299,000 $131 53
23718 Flint Meadow Trl 0.44mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,246 (-12%) 2mo $359,900 $160 53
23931 Bearberry Thicket Trl 0.53mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,772 (+9%) 2mo $439,900 $159 52
6322 Winthrop Terrace Trl 0.69mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,358 (-7%) 2mo $569,000 $241 49
6143 Rosehill Harvest Loop 0.53mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,843 (+12%) 3mo $450,000 $158 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.9%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-89,636
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-76.0%
Equity multiple
-0.80×
Total profit
$-150,843
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77493

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
2696
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,810 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$981 /mo · $11,771/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$63
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$590
Net cashflow
$-522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,471
Max offer price $235,424
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5710 Fresh View Ct Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2313 $2,495 $1.08 2d 1 0.16mi
5103 Visionary Dr Katy, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1692 $3,096 $1.83 2d 9 0.79mi
22700 Elyson Falls Dr Katy, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1658 $2,925 $1.76 2d 1 1.04mi
22824 Frassino Pl Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2017 $2,629 $1.30 2d 1 1.08mi
22865 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2017 $2,759 $1.37 15d 1 1.11mi
22808 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,529 $1.26 17d 1 1.13mi
22851 Terazzo Dr Katy, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1740 $3,304 $1.90 1d 1 1.15mi
22738 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1873 $2,539 $1.36 20d 1 1.16mi
5007 Royal Amber Ln Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2270 $1,975 $0.87 44d 1 1.17mi
22716 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,439 $1.31 5d 1 1.17mi
22718 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1873 $2,439 $1.30 5d 1 1.18mi
22722 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2017 $2,559 $1.27 17d 1 1.18mi
22622 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1873 $2,569 $1.37 44d 1 1.18mi
22616 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,539 $1.36 15d 1 1.18mi
22614 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1873 $2,539 $1.36 13d 1 1.18mi
22720 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,559 $1.28 17d 1 1.19mi
22624 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,569 $1.38 44d 1 1.19mi
22737 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1873 $2,649 $1.41 44d 1 1.19mi
22626 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,699 $1.35 44d 1 1.19mi
22719 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,559 $1.28 17d 1 1.20mi
22628 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2017 $2,659 $1.32 15d 1 1.21mi
22717 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 2.5 2017 $2,629 $1.30 5d 1 1.21mi
22615 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,569 $1.38 44d 1 1.25mi
22613 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1873 $2,569 $1.37 44d 1 1.25mi
22611 Terrazzo Dr Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,569 $1.38 44d 1 1.26mi
24430 Piney Harbor Ln Katy, TX 4.0 3.0 2859 $2,800 $0.98 24d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$63 · $756/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Pending 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Pending 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Pending 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $300,000 Pending 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $300,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $339,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-03-30
    historical
  15. 2026-03-30
    listed $339,000 Active 876-char remark
  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $355,000 Active
  17. 2026-03-03
    historical
  18. 2026-01-16
    listed $369,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$11,771 · $981/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,771 · $981/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,726
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$11,771
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,698
− Management
−$2,698
− HOA
−$756
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$11,230
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,695
After-tax cash flow
$-3,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with a good rehab level of cosmetic. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior brick, landscaping improvements, new flooring in bathrooms, new kitchen appliances, and new lighting fixtures.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and value
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances aesthetics and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and value
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances aesthetics and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Katy ISD
NCES district ID
4825170
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$90,312
Composite
56.59/100
National rank
#1146
State rank
#29 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
71,484
Household income
$118,464
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.65%
Current HPI
233.1683
Rent YoY
▼ -0.80%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $300,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $339,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $355,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $369,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+203.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,771 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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