2661 County Road 5 · Ironton, OH
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country setting 3.1 acre home with 3 bedroom 2 full bath home with kitchen, dining room, living room, office or small bedroom, bonus room, enclosed breezeway and a 2 car double garage. Has flooring but needs installed. Needs painted/updated. TLC is definitely needed to turn this home back into a once very beautiful home. Has a mobile home on the property that could be made into a mother in law suite or used for extra income. Work needed on it as well.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 98 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Stream on the property; Partially wooded and level topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in Ironton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Rock Hill Local (rural): math 37% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #526 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.69%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $46,990
- Equity at exit
- $62,919
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $124,687
- Equity at exit
- $116,969
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45645
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,179/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-12$95,000 Active
-
2026-01-02$120,000 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Country setting 3.1 acre home with 3 bedroom 2 full bath home with kitchen, dining room, living room, office or small bedroom, bonus room, enclosed breezeway and a 2 car double garage. Has flooring but needs installed. Needs painted/updated. TLC is definitely needed to turn this home back into a once very beautiful home. Has a mobile home on the property that could be made into a mother in law suite or used for extra income. Work needed on it as well.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$152/yr (+$13/mo · 12.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,179
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,734
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$416
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rock Hill Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904794
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,329
- Composite
- 35.41/100
- National rank
- #4944
- State rank
- #526 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ironton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #5718
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lawrence · 57,020 people
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,709
- Household income
- $53,056
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,915 people
- By 2030
- 55,650 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 50,523 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 45,103 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 32,441 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 21,754 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.53%
- Current HPI
- 186.0718
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-20.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Contingent — AABOR
- 2026-03-12 Listed $95,000 AABOR
- 2026-01-02 Listed $120,000 Fizber.com
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,179 · +37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…