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2661 County Road 5
B Composite 74.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

2661 County Road 5 · Ironton, OH 45645
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,579 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1897 ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country setting 3.1 acre home with 3 bedroom 2 full bath home with kitchen, dining room, living room, office or small bedroom, bonus room, enclosed breezeway and a 2 car double garage. Has flooring but needs installed. Needs painted/updated. TLC is definitely needed to turn this home back into a once very beautiful home. Has a mobile home on the property that could be made into a mother in law suite or used for extra income. Work needed on it as well.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 98 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Stream on the property; Partially wooded and level topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in Ironton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Rock Hill Local (rural): math 37% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #526 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.69%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$46,990
Equity at exit
$62,919
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$124,687
Equity at exit
$116,969

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45645

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,179/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $889
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  16. 2026-03-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-02
    listed $120,000 Active 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Country setting 3.1 acre home with 3 bedroom 2 full bath home with kitchen, dining room, living room, office or small bedroom, bonus room, enclosed breezeway and a 2 car double garage. Has flooring but needs installed. Needs painted/updated. TLC is definitely needed to turn this home back into a once very beautiful home. Has a mobile home on the property that could be made into a mother in law suite or used for extra income. Work needed on it as well.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,179 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$152/yr (+$13/mo · 12.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,607
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,179
− Insurance
−$1,272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,169
− Management
−$1,169
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$416
After-tax cash flow
$2,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rock Hill Local
NCES district ID
3904794
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,329
Composite
35.41/100
National rank
#4944
State rank
#526 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ironton

Score
72/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#5718

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lawrence · 57,020 people
Metro
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Population (ZIP)
2,709
Household income
$53,056
Rent vs Own
7.0% rent · 93.0% own

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,915 people
By 2030
55,650 · -3.9%
By 2040
50,523 · -12.8%
By 2050
45,103 · -22.1%
By 2075
32,441 · -44.0%
By 2100
21,754 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.53%
Current HPI
186.0718
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Contingent AABOR
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $95,000 AABOR
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $120,000 Fizber.com

Property tax history

+15.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,179 · +37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…