CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
27455 Avondale St
B+ Composite 75.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

27455 Avondale St · Inkster, MI 48141
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1970 6,534 sqft lot Est $145k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DO NOT MISS THIS ONE ! NICE RANCH, PLENTY OF STORAGE SPACE, 1 BLOCK FROM MAJOR TRANSPORTATION, NEW FURNACE, NEW HOT WATER HEATER, NEW BASEMENT WINDOWS, CLEAN BIG BASEMENT LOTS OF SPACE, NEWER GUTTERS, LARGE GARAGE, WITH SPACE FOR WORK SHOP ! THIS IS IT !

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1970

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#406 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Wayne-Westland Community School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #474 of 540 in MI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: David Hicks School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 407 students, 89% FRL); Wayne Memorial High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 1,361 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
10.97%
Cash-on-cash
16.72%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,525
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
363 Sherbourne St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,030 (+0%) 2mo $160,000 $155 78
28005 Avondale St 0.27mi 3/1.0 962 (-6%) 2mo $107,500 $112 75
28521 Oakwood St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,025 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $141 74
1058 Magnolia Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 3mo $77,257 $77 74
1248 Colonial Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+9%) 6mo $105,000 $94 68
1088 Arlington St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,076 (+5%) 4mo $137,500 $128 66
112 Brentwood St 0.60mi 3/1.0 994 (-3%) 1mo $164,000 $165 66
291 Arlington St 0.47mi 3/1.0 966 (-6%) 5mo $139,000 $144 65
216 Helen St 0.64mi 3/1.0 958 (-6%) 6mo $178,866 $187 54
26628 Oakland St 0.74mi 3/1.0 921 (-10%) 6mo $111,610 $121 43
26723 W Hills Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 890 (-13%) 3mo $110,000 $124 41
784 Patterson Ct 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+11%) 6mo $170,000 $149 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$8,627
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$39,455
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48141

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,453 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,301/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $959
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $447 -5% $418 +0% $390 +5% $362 +10% $333
Rent -10% $275 -5% $333 +0% $390 +5% $447 +10% $505
Rate -1.0pp $440 -0.5pp $415 base $390 +0.5pp $364 +1.0pp $338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27184 Lucerne Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 45d 1 0.19mi
1189 Woodland Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 994 $1,400 $1.41 0d 1 0.29mi
1150 Magnolia Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 25d 1 0.38mi
238 Yorkshire Blvd Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 741 $1,424 $1.92 0d 15 0.65mi
29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 912 $1,600 $1.75 0d 1 0.87mi
641 Gilman St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,600 $2.00 18d 1 0.89mi
26322 Westphal St Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,455 $1.91 0d 25 0.91mi
167 Cherry Valley Dr Inkster, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 784 $1,395 $1.78 16d 12 0.99mi
572 Tobin Dr Inkster, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $1,600 $1.71 0d 20 1.03mi
29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,400 $1.35 14d 1 1.12mi
3236 Walnut St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 0d 1 1.23mi
30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 45d 1 1.24mi
30043 Grandview St Unit 1 Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 1004 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 1.29mi
1713 Gilman St Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,600 $1.86 0d 1 1.33mi
29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,450 $1.49 45d 1 1.37mi
27139 Penn St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 832 $675 $0.81 19d 1 1.38mi
536 N Leona Ave Garden City, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,440 $1.44 14d 1 1.41mi
26742 Penn St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 18d 1 1.41mi
26707 Penn St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 6d 1 1.45mi
25745 Princeton St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 12d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2025-06-27
    status Pending
  2. 2025-03-25
    historical
  3. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  4. 2022-04-07
    soldstatus $98,000
  5. 2022-04-05
    status Pending 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    DO NOT MISS THIS ONE ! NICE RANCH, PLENTY OF STORAGE SPACE, 1 BLOCK FROM MAJOR TRANSPORTATION, NEW FURNACE, NEW HOT WATER HEATER, NEW BASEMENT WINDOWS, CLEAN BIG BASEMENT LOTS OF SPACE, NEWER GUTTERS, LARGE GARAGE, WITH SPACE FOR WORK SHOP ! THIS IS IT !

  6. 2022-04-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    DO NOT MISS THIS ONE ! NICE RANCH, PLENTY OF STORAGE SPACE, 1 BLOCK FROM MAJOR TRANSPORTATION, NEW FURNACE, NEW HOT WATER HEATER, NEW BASEMENT WINDOWS, CLEAN BIG BASEMENT LOTS OF SPACE, NEWER GUTTERS, LARGE GARAGE, WITH SPACE FOR WORK SHOP ! THIS IS IT !

  7. 2021-11-05
    listed $100,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    DO NOT MISS THIS ONE ! NICE RANCH, PLENTY OF STORAGE SPACE, 1 BLOCK FROM MAJOR TRANSPORTATION, NEW FURNACE, NEW HOT WATER HEATER, NEW BASEMENT WINDOWS, CLEAN BIG BASEMENT LOTS OF SPACE, NEWER GUTTERS, LARGE GARAGE, WITH SPACE FOR WORK SHOP ! THIS IS IT !

  8. 2021-11-05
    listed $100,000 Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    DO NOT MISS THIS ONE ! NICE RANCH, PLENTY OF STORAGE SPACE, 1 BLOCK FROM MAJOR TRANSPORTATION, NEW FURNACE, NEW HOT WATER HEATER, NEW BASEMENT WINDOWS, CLEAN BIG BASEMENT LOTS OF SPACE, NEWER GUTTERS, LARGE GARAGE, WITH SPACE FOR WORK SHOP ! THIS IS IT !

  9. 2021-10-29
    historical
  10. 2021-10-28
    historical
  11. 2021-09-28
    status Active
  12. 2021-09-28
    status Active
  13. 2021-08-11
    status Pending
  14. 2021-08-11
    status Pending
  15. 2021-06-29
    listed $89,900 Active
  16. 2021-06-29
    listed $89,900 Active
  17. 2019-08-16
    historical
  18. 2019-08-15
    historical
  19. 2019-08-14
    status Active
  20. 2019-08-14
    status Active
  21. 2019-08-07
    historical
  22. 2019-08-06
    historical
  23. 2019-06-21
    status Active
  24. 2019-06-13
    historical
  25. 2019-02-15
    listed $45,000 Active
  26. 2019-02-15
    listed $45,000 Active
  27. 2016-01-30
    historical
  28. 2015-07-30
    listed $750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,301 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,301 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,436
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,301
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,395
− Management
−$1,395
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$3,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$800
After-tax cash flow
$3,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne-Westland Community School District
NCES district ID
2600015
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,524
Composite
16.4/100
National rank
#9195
State rank
#474 of 540 in MI

Livability — Inkster

Score
67/100
State rank
#406
US rank
#11087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Inkster, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
25,428
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,428
Household income
$39,252
Rent vs Own
53.2% rent · 46.8% own
Severe rent burden
1558.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.74%
Current HPI
390.2139
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.8% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-05 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-05 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-08-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-29 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-29 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-08-14 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-08-14 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-15 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-15 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-07-30 Listed $750 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,301 · -17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…