3018 52nd Ct · Tuscaloosa, AL 35401

$132,598

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,474 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 472 Days on market

Built 1945 0.41 ac lot $90/sqft · 20% below area Est $166k · 20% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Country Cottage located 3 miles from town - corner lot - space for a vegetable garden and chickens (coop). Offers a lot of windows in the home and a yard with established trees Vintage metal cabinets in the kitchen, including a serving bar. There is also an attic fan. HOME SOLD AS IS! CASH ONLY! Needs Central Air/Heat; Needs all new electrical wiring/new box. Floors need to be leveled/refinished. Interior/Exterior paint is needed. Ceiling repair in sunroom and various sheetrock/wall repairs throughout.

Key facts

• Lot of windows
• Chickens coop
• Vegetable garden

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• VEGETABLE GARDEN
• CHICKENS COOP
• LOT OF WINDOWS
• ESTABLISHED TREES
• VINTAGE METAL CABINETS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
• Recommended offer: $117k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
• Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,652/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 3997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 472 days — a 12% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $116,686 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 472 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.43%
• DSCR: 1.73
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $165,777
• List price: $132,598
• Delta: -20.01%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3216 Culver Rd	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,521 (+3%)	5mo	$70,000	$46	81
3219 Westlee Dr	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,572 (+7%)	6mo	$155,000	$99	73
3000 52nd Ct	0.05mi	3/2.0	1,600 (+8%)	16mo	$217,500	$136	66
6616 36th St	0.72mi	3/1.5	1,472 (-0%)	6mo	$190,000	$129	59
4894 Virginia Cir	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,350 (-8%)	12mo	$157,000	$116	58
4822 Clover Rd	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,625 (+10%)	0mo	$58,000	$36	51
4901 29th St	0.53mi	3/2.0	1,330 (-10%)	9mo	$185,000	$139	47
3820 64th Ave	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,450 (-2%)	20mo	$158,000	$109	45
3517 66th Ave	0.65mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,494 (+1%)	20mo	$191,500	$128	42
4110 60th Ct	0.74mi	3/1.5	1,296 (-12%)	8mo	$197,500	$152	37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.44×
• Total profit: $16,481
• Equity at exit: $19,771

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.17×
• Total profit: $80,635
• Equity at exit: $11,465

Cash invested: $37,127 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35401

• Rents YoY: 6.3%
• Active inventory: 306
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,652 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$695
• Tax from tax record: −$46 /mo · $556/yr
• Insurance: −$55
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$347
• Net cashflow: $508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,009

Max offer price $132,598

Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,150
• Closing costs: $3,978
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5022 Virginia Cir Tuscaloosa, AL	3.0	1.5	1161	$1,350	$1.16	43d	1	0.24mi
4416 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL	3.0	2.0	1259	$1,700	$1.35	13d	1	0.93mi
3499 Joyce Lewis Ave Tuscaloosa, AL	3.0	2.0	1340	$1,700	$1.27	21d	1	0.94mi
4342 Tari St Tuscaloosa, AL	3.0	2.0	1340	$1,750	$1.31	43d	1	0.99mi
1018 42nd Ave Tuscaloosa, AL	3.0	1.0	1080	$1,375	$1.27	13d	1	1.41mi
3416 36th Ct Tuscaloosa, AL	3.0	2.0	1206	$1,395	$1.16	43d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $132,598 Active 472 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $132,598 Active 471 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $132,598 Active 470 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $132,598 Active 469 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $132,598 Active 467 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $132,598 Active 466 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $132,598 Active 464 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $132,598 Active 463 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $132,598 Active 462 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,598 Active 461 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $132,598 Active 458 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $132,598 Active 457 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,598 Active 456 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,598 Active 455 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,598 Active 454 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $132,598 Active 453 DOM
17. 2025-03-03
    listed $132,598 Active 508-char remark

    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Country Cottage located 3 miles from town - corner lot - space for a vegetable garden and chickens (coop). Offers a lot of windows in the home and a yard with established trees Vintage metal cabinets in the kitchen, including a serving bar. There is also an attic fan. HOME SOLD AS IS! CASH ONLY! Needs Central Air/Heat; Needs all new electrical wiring/new box. Floors need to be leveled/refinished. Interior/Exterior paint is needed. Ceiling repair in sunroom and various sheetrock/wall repairs throughout.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $556 · $46/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $556 · $46/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,824
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,428
• − Property taxes: −$556
• − Insurance: −$663
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,586
• − Management: −$1,586
• − Depreciation: −$3,857
• Taxable income: $4,149
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$996
• After-tax cash flow: $5,103/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tuscaloosa City
• NCES district ID: 0103360
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $37,474
• Composite: 24.51/100
• National rank: #7647
• State rank: #74 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #9
• US rank: #2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
• City population: 134,228
• Metro: Tuscaloosa, AL
• Population (ZIP): 43,459
• Household income: $29,152
• Rent vs Own: 73.0% rent · 27.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3997.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 228,293 people
• By 2030: 240,551 · +5.4%
• By 2040: 263,856 · +15.6%
• By 2050: 286,491 · +25.5%
• By 2075: 335,783 · +47.1%
• By 2100: 370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 47% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -191.40%
• Current HPI: 179.8335
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.29%
• Metro: Tuscaloosa, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-03-03 Listed $132,598 WAMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $556 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.