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223 Mount Zoar St
B+ Composite 75.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

223 Mount Zoar St · Elmira, NY 14904
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,558 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1800 5,400 sqft lot Est $104k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large single family home previously used as a rental. With some TLC this could be a great income property or primary residence. Square footage is per real-info.

Key facts

  • Fully functional
  • Brand new furnace
  • Added insulation

Tags

FULLY FUNCTIONALPARTIALLY RENOVATEDBRAND NEW FURNACEADDED INSULATIONWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSWALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Poured foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot (approx. 40 x 135)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10 (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Separate/formal dining room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
14.75%
Cash-on-cash
30.20%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,386
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 Broadway St 0.19mi 4/1.0 1,468 (-6%) 3mo $78,000 $53 75
507 Partridge St 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,592 (+2%) 3mo $106,500 $67 70
478 Mount Zoar St 0.34mi 4/1.0 1,456 (-6%) 2mo $35,000 $24 68
421 Jefferson St 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,688 (+8%) 5mo $85,106 $50 62
558 Coburn St 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,716 (+10%) 0mo $125,020 $73 61
551 Lyon St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,586 (+2%) 3mo $158,000 $100 59
609 Chester St 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,618 (+4%) 7mo $110,000 $68 55
631 Pennsylvania Ave 0.45mi 4/1.0 1,787 (+15%) 2mo $67,000 $37 49
704 Maple Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,674 (+7%) 1mo $69,000 $41 45
461 W Hudson St 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,331 (-15%) 6mo $93,906 $71 44
310 Sly St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,359 (-13%) 6mo $75,000 $55 41
626 Decker Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,335 (-14%) 2mo $142,000 $106 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$18,747
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$54,322
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14904

Home prices YoY
-9.6%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,326 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,663/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $747
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
363 W Water St #2 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,250 $1.15 44d 1 0.59mi
106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1395 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 0.90mi
514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY 4.0 1.0 1416 $1,275 $0.90 44d 1 0.91mi
355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.5 1650 $1,400 $0.85 44d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 496-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,663 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,663 · $222/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,918
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$2,663
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,273
− Management
−$1,273
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,851
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,164
After-tax cash flow
$4,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Elmira

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16139

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elmira, NY
City population
14,276
Population (ZIP)
14,276

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.33%
Current HPI
220.688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $65,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-05-27 Price Changed $43,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-01-21 Listed $50,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-10-14 Sold (MLS) $30,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-08-09 Listed $32,500 UNYREIS
  • 2010-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $9,900 Public Records
  • 2008-09-30 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2008-03-24 Listed $19,900 UNYREIS
  • 2007-12-31 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2007-03-25 Listed $25,900 UNYREIS
  • 2005-12-31 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2005-07-01 Listed $34,900 UNYREIS
  • 2005-03-24 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2005-02-01 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,663 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…