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2776 California Ct 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 58.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

2776 California Ct · Lincoln, NE 68510
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 885 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1920 2,614 sqft lot $89/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Single-family residence offering a straightforward layout and strong potential. Ideal for both owner-occupants and investors looking to add to their portfolio. Conveniently located with access to nearby amenities and major routes. This property is tenant occupied.

Key facts

  • 2,614 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1920; One story (living area all above grade)
  • Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Up to 1/4 acre lot; Lot dimensions approximately 51 x 47; Lot included in price

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main floor; Second bedroom on the main floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No fireplaces; Enclosed porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $79,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$173,367) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($934 rent vs $79k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Elliott Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 370 students, 0% FRL); Lefler Middle School (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D+, #63 of 128 statewide, top 50%, 613 students, 61% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #184 of 261 statewide, top 76%, 2,196 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,367
List price
$79,000
Delta
-54.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2776 California Ct 0.00mi 2/1.0 885 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $90 99
3132 F St 0.26mi 2/1.0 904 (+2%) 1mo $215,000 $238 83
900 Elmwood Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 886 (+0%) 4mo $219,900 $248 80
3244 C St 0.42mi 2/1.0 936 (+6%) 6mo $215,000 $230 66
2520 Garfield St 0.66mi 2/1.0 864 (-2%) 0mo $100,000 $116 65
1215 S 22nd St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-2%) 5mo $72,000 $83 60
901 S 24th St 0.35mi 1/1.0 (-1) 981 (+11%) 2mo $128,000 $130 59
1349 Chautauqua Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 816 (-8%) 6mo $165,000 $202 58
2839 Sumner St 0.73mi 2/1.0 845 (-4%) 3mo $200,000 $237 56
3521 D St 0.60mi 2/1.0 948 (+7%) 5mo $195,000 $206 56
850 S 36th St 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,008 (+14%) 2mo $226,000 $224 45
3510 L St 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,017 (+15%) 6mo $219,000 $215 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-4,919
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$2,916
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68510

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$934 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $756
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $186 -5% $163 +0% $141 +5% $118 +10% $96
Rent -10% $67 -5% $104 +0% $141 +5% $178 +10% $215
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $161 base $141 +0.5pp $120 +1.0pp $100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
861 S 29th St Unit 865 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 902 $795 $0.88 14d 1 0.09mi
636 S 27th St Apt 6 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 690 $725 $1.05 21d 1 0.14mi
2527 H St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 625 $725 $1.16 44d 1 0.24mi
2612 J St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,235 $1.18 14d 1 0.24mi
1001 S 26th St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 790 $799 $1.01 14d 1 0.29mi
2510 E St Unit 3 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 14d 1 0.30mi
526 S 25th St Unit 5 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 670 $895 $1.34 14d 1 0.31mi
2444 E St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 650 $749 $1.15 44d 1 0.33mi
2406 J St Unit G Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 605 $800 $1.32 44d 1 0.36mi
1100 S 25th St Unit 3 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 553 $825 $1.49 44d 1 0.37mi
244 S 26th St Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 550 $600 $1.09 14d 1 0.41mi
240 S 26th St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 820 $875 $1.07 14d 1 0.42mi
2501 N St Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 625 $720 $1.15 21d 1 0.48mi
2501 N St Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 576 $720 $1.25 44d 1 0.48mi
2423 B St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 705 $845 $1.20 44d 1 0.53mi
2209 D St Lincoln, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0 760 $914 $1.20 14d 3 0.53mi
2110 J St Unit 3 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 560 $695 $1.24 44d 1 0.56mi
130 N 27th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 735 $950 $1.29 14d 1 0.57mi
2335 B St Unit 5 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 920 $875 $0.95 21d 1 0.57mi
2701 P St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 21d 1 0.59mi
2040 F St Unit 7 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 570 $695 $1.22 14d 1 0.59mi
2044 E St Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 575 $695 $1.21 21d 1 0.61mi
2800 P St Unit 5 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 941 $995 $1.06 14d 1 0.61mi
2144 B St Unit 3 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 21d 1 0.64mi
660 S 20th St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 710 $825 $1.16 44d 1 0.64mi
660 S 20th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 710 $825 $1.16 21d 1 0.64mi
660 S 20th St Unit 5 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 710 $825 $1.16 14d 1 0.64mi
2015 J St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 604 $745 $1.23 21d 1 0.64mi
2015 J St Unit 7 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 604 $775 $1.28 21d 1 0.64mi
2904 Q St Unit 2906 Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.5 1060 $1,458 $1.38 14d 1 0.69mi
1905 G St Unit 3 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 755 $800 $1.06 44d 1 0.70mi
1905 G St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE 2.0 2.0 935 $960 $1.03 44d 1 0.71mi
1900 F St Unit B12 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 648 $750 $1.16 44d 1 0.73mi
1901 E St Apt 1 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 566 $700 $1.24 14d 1 0.74mi
1900 K St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,630 $2.10 44d 1 0.74mi
2430 Q St Apt 8 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 780 $1,095 $1.40 44d 1 0.76mi
1820 F St Unit 7 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 616 $725 $1.18 14d 1 0.77mi
1820 F St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 616 $725 $1.18 44d 1 0.77mi
1821 G St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE 1.0 1.0 625 $735 $1.18 44d 1 0.77mi
2800 R St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE 2.0 2.0 973 $945 $0.97 14d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 264-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $79,000 New 264-char remark
  3. 2026-05-01
    historical
  4. 2026-04-12
    listed $99,000 New
  5. 2026-04-12
    historical
  6. 2026-03-05
    listed $112,000 New
  7. 2026-03-05
    historical
  8. 2026-01-20
    listed $122,000 New
  9. 2019-10-31
    soldstatus $350,000
  10. 2003-01-02
    soldstatus $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,796 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,796 · $150/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,206
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,796
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$896
− Management
−$896
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$498
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$120
After-tax cash flow
$1,570/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Public Schools
NCES district ID
3172840
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,273
Composite
44.05/100
National rank
#2880
State rank
#59 of 111 in NE

Livability — Lincoln

Score
85/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#545

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln, NE
County
Lancaster County · 291,509 people
City population
291,509
Metro
Lincoln, NE
Population (ZIP)
19,391
Household income
$65,951
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
622.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
352,806 people
By 2030
377,899 · +7.1%
By 2040
428,582 · +21.5%
By 2050
483,103 · +36.9%
By 2075
632,390 · +79.2%
By 2100
759,513 · +115.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.27%
Current HPI
243.7469
Rent YoY
▲ 1.78%
Metro
Lincoln, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $82,489 Public Records
  • 2026-05-27 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $79,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $99,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $112,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $122,000 GPRMLS
  • 2019-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,796 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…