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178 Davis St
D Composite 42.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0

$274,683

178 Davis St · Pea Ridge, AR 72751
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,501 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1979 0.54 ac lot Est $294k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Central to Pea Ridge, this three bedroom, one-and-a-half bath home sits on over a half acre lot with a 480sq ft shop with concrete floor! Home has a cozy kitchen with eat in area, pantry, plus a new gas stove. Living area offers a wood burning stove and has ample natural light form the glass back doors. Half bath and washer dryer on one side of home with three bedrooms and full bath off other side. Primary bedroom is on the back of home. Outside, the backyard is fenced and well kept. There is a separate fenced off garden area and an immaculately organized shop with a roll up door and concrete floor. Eligible for a no down payment rural development loan!

Key facts

  • Eat-in dining area
  • Spacious shop
  • Wood-burning stove

Tags

SPACIOUS SHOPCONCRETE FLOORROLL-UP DOOREAT-IN DINING AREAWOOD-BURNING STOVENATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-303 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (19.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (33.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.4% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#98 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pea Ridge School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #43 of 238 in AR (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,429 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.72%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,196
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Henry Little Cir 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,410 (-6%) 1mo $275,000 $195 76
200 Ratliff Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,589 (+6%) 0mo $323,625 $204 66
208 Ratliff Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,589 (+6%) 0mo $316,500 $199 65
105 Ratliff Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-2%) 1mo $303,000 $206 64
522 Lee Town Dr 0.17mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,284 (-14%) 1mo $246,900 $192 62
404 Greer St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,637 (+9%) 1mo $324,000 $198 62
645 Lynn Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+10%) 0mo $302,500 $183 59
305 Ratliff Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,589 (+6%) 0mo $312,000 $196 58
113 Ratliff Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,589 (+6%) 1mo $319,500 $201 58
940 Eagle Crest Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,338 (-11%) 1mo $257,000 $192 54
300 Greer St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,637 (+9%) 1mo $316,000 $193 53
134 Mcculloch St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,294 (-14%) 1mo $237,500 $184 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$84,703
Equity at exit
$198,985
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$259,924
Equity at exit
$386,075

Cash invested: $76,911 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72751

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
423
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,834 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,440
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,361/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$-303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,217
Max offer price $221,232
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,671
Closing costs
$8,240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
890 Choate Place Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1820 $1,900 $1.04 43d 1 0.42mi
585 Lynn Dr Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1804 $1,650 $0.91 43d 1 0.43mi
112 Alder St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,625 $1.20 44d 1 0.89mi
308 Alder St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,625 $1.14 23d 1 0.91mi
308 Alder St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,625 $1.14 43d 1 0.91mi
521 W Pickens Rd Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 14d 1 1.03mi
533 W Pickens Rd Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 14d 1 1.03mi
547 W Pickens Rd Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 14d 1 1.04mi
536 Lewis St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1649 $1,995 $1.21 21d 1 1.04mi
575 W Pickens Rd Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 43d 1 1.05mi
581 W Pickens Rd Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 43d 1 1.05mi
1400 Hickery St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 21d 1 1.06mi
801 Lewis St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1744 $2,000 $1.15 13d 1 1.10mi
1713 Cuppett Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1503 $1,650 $1.10 23d 1 1.16mi
1711 Cuppett Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1604 $1,750 $1.09 23d 1 1.16mi
1393 Hutchinson St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1580 $1,675 $1.06 43d 1 1.18mi
1703 Booker Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,525 $1.44 14d 1 1.22mi
1914 Booker Cir Pea Ridge, AR 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,525 $1.45 21d 1 1.23mi
1723 Booker Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,650 $1.56 23d 1 1.26mi
1803 Booker Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,525 $1.44 14d 1 1.28mi
1801 Booker Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,525 $1.44 43d 1 1.28mi
1735 Booker Cir Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,525 $1.44 21d 1 1.29mi
1808 Edwards St Pea Ridge, AR 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,025 $1.22 14d 1 1.33mi
1036 Tracey Ln Pea Ridge, AR 4.0 2.0 1911 $2,075 $1.09 23d 1 1.36mi
938 Seaborn Way Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1750 $1,650 $0.94 23d 1 1.37mi
938 Seaborn Way Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1750 $1,650 $0.94 43d 1 1.37mi
940 Seaborn Way Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1750 $1,650 $0.94 43d 1 1.38mi
942 Seaborn Way Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1750 $1,650 $0.94 43d 1 1.38mi
1902 Edwards St Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1674 $2,025 $1.21 14d 1 1.39mi
1002 Seaborn Way Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.0 1750 $1,650 $0.94 43d 1 1.39mi
1006 Seaborn Way Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1750 $1,650 $0.94 43d 1 1.41mi
645 Sugar Creek Rd Pea Ridge, AR 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,600 $0.89 14d 1 1.41mi
1812 Seay Cir Pea Ridge, AR 4.0 2.5 1854 $1,900 $1.02 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-09
    price $274,683
  3. 2026-02-16
    listed $283,689 Active
  4. 2025-01-02
    historical $1,600
  5. 2024-12-05
    listed $1,600
  6. 2024-11-27
    soldstatus $240,000 Closed 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Central to Pea Ridge, this three bedroom, one-and-a-half bath home sits on over a half acre lot with a 480sq ft shop with concrete floor! Home has a cozy kitchen with eat in area, pantry, plus a new gas stove. Living area offers a wood burning stove and has ample natural light form the glass back doors. Half bath and washer dryer on one side of home with three bedrooms and full bath off other side. Primary bedroom is on the back of home. Outside, the backyard is fenced and well kept. There is a separate fenced off garden area and an immaculately organized shop with a roll up door and concrete floor. Eligible for a no down payment rural development loan!

  7. 2024-11-09
    status Pending 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Central to Pea Ridge, this three bedroom, one-and-a-half bath home sits on over a half acre lot with a 480sq ft shop with concrete floor! Home has a cozy kitchen with eat in area, pantry, plus a new gas stove. Living area offers a wood burning stove and has ample natural light form the glass back doors. Half bath and washer dryer on one side of home with three bedrooms and full bath off other side. Primary bedroom is on the back of home. Outside, the backyard is fenced and well kept. There is a separate fenced off garden area and an immaculately organized shop with a roll up door and concrete floor. Eligible for a no down payment rural development loan!

  8. 2024-11-01
    listed $260,000 Active 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Central to Pea Ridge, this three bedroom, one-and-a-half bath home sits on over a half acre lot with a 480sq ft shop with concrete floor! Home has a cozy kitchen with eat in area, pantry, plus a new gas stove. Living area offers a wood burning stove and has ample natural light form the glass back doors. Half bath and washer dryer on one side of home with three bedrooms and full bath off other side. Primary bedroom is on the back of home. Outside, the backyard is fenced and well kept. There is a separate fenced off garden area and an immaculately organized shop with a roll up door and concrete floor. Eligible for a no down payment rural development loan!

  9. 1986-12-12
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,361 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,361 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,011
− Mortgage interest
−$15,387
− Property taxes
−$2,361
− Insurance
−$1,373
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,761
− Management
−$1,761
− Depreciation
−$7,991
Taxable loss
−$8,622
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,069
After-tax cash flow
$-1,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pea Ridge School District
NCES district ID
0503030
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$53,156
Composite
36.88/100
National rank
#4546
State rank
#43 of 238 in AR

Livability — Pea Ridge

Score
67/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#10429

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pea Ridge, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
9,997
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
9,997
Household income
$95,299
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
83.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.48%
Current HPI
352.7133
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+497.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $274,683 NWARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $283,689 NWARMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Rental Removed $1,600 Avail
  • 2024-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,600 Avail
  • 2024-11-27 Sold (MLS) $240,000 NWARMLS
  • 2024-11-09 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $260,000 NWARMLS
  • 1986-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,361 · +322.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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