54286 Terrace Ln · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.5/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Campus-close and full of potential, this home sits just minutes from Notre Dame in a location that’s always in demand. Inside, you’ll find a bright living space with large windows and a vaulted, beamed ceiling that brings in natural light and adds character. The main level offers a flexible layout with two bedrooms and a full bath. Upstairs, the private primary suite creates separation from the main living area and includes its own full bath along with generous closet space (currently used as a bedroom) offering a true retreat that’s hard to find at this price point. The finished basement expands your living space with a rec room and bonus room, ideal for hobbies, workouts, or additional storage. Outside, you’ll appreciate the oversized garage along with multiple storage options including a shed and lean-to. With updated mechanicals over the years and a location that keeps you close to campus, parks, and everyday amenities, this home is a smart option for owner-occupants, investors, or anyone looking to be near the heart of it all.
Key facts
- Bright living space
- Flexible layout
- Rec room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (15.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $111k; list at $260k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.75%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,011
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- 26.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54150 N Ironwood Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (0%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $161 | 88 |
| 54335 Maple Lane Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (+2%) | 2mo | $197,500 | $148 | 87 |
| 54162 N Ironwood Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+6%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $119 | 82 |
| 54296 Maple Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+7%) | 5mo | $214,000 | $152 | 80 |
| 54611 28th St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (+2%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $161 | 66 |
| 18377 Dunn Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,324 (+1%) | 11mo | $635,000 | $480 | 64 |
| 17751 Hastings Ct | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,468 (+12%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $191 | 62 |
| 1728 Winston Dr | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,351 (+3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $185 | 53 |
| 1703 Crestwood Blvd | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,462 (+12%) | 3mo | $251,000 | $172 | 45 |
| 1801 Winston Dr | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,462 (+12%) | 4mo | $212,000 | $145 | 40 |
| 2522 Edison Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,431 (+9%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $140 | 39 |
| 1851 Winston Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,462 (+12%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $164 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-56,593
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-67,862
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46635
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$312 /mo · $3,743/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-81 | -5% $-154 | +0% $-228 | +5% $-301 | +10% $-375 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-383 | -5% $-305 | +0% $-228 | +5% $-150 | +10% $-72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-97 | -0.5pp $-162 | base $-228 | +0.5pp $-295 | +1.0pp $-364 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1512 Rosemary Ln South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,138 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1824 Peachtree Ln South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1852 | $2,700 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5640 Irish Way Mishawaka, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,675 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1160 Helmen Dr South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $2,300 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5630 University Park Dr Mishawaka, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $2,003 | $2.11 | 14d | 17 | 1.30mi |
| 724 Northwood Dr South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $2,600 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1145 N Eddy St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 959 | $4,377 | $4.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$259,900 Active 1071-char remark
Show marketing remark (1071 chars)
Campus-close and full of potential, this home sits just minutes from Notre Dame in a location that’s always in demand. Inside, you’ll find a bright living space with large windows and a vaulted, beamed ceiling that brings in natural light and adds character. The main level offers a flexible layout with two bedrooms and a full bath. Upstairs, the private primary suite creates separation from the main living area and includes its own full bath along with generous closet space (currently used as a bedroom) offering a true retreat that’s hard to find at this price point. The finished basement expands your living space with a rec room and bonus room, ideal for hobbies, workouts, or additional storage. Outside, you’ll appreciate the oversized garage along with multiple storage options including a shed and lean-to. With updated mechanicals over the years and a location that keeps you close to campus, parks, and everyday amenities, this home is a smart option for owner-occupants, investors, or anyone looking to be near the heart of it all.
-
2018-08-31soldstatus $111,000 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
CAMPUS CLOSE! SO CLOSE YO ROOM WITH HIGH BEAMED CEILING FEATURES NEW CARPETING AND LOTS OF WINDOWS FOR NATURAL LIGHT. 2 BEDROOMS & BATH ON MAIN LEVEL (2ND BEDROOM CURRENTLY USED AS FORMAL DINING ROOM). ALL APPLIANCES & BLINDS ARE INCLUDED! MASTER SUITE IS UPSTAIRS AND OFFERS A FULL, PRIVATE BATH PLUS TWO SUPER SIZED WALK IN CLOSETS (ONE IS 4X8 AND ONE IS 7X9) PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT. OVERSIZED GARAGE PLUS STORAGE SHED + LEAN-TO SHED WILL GIVE YOU PLENTY OF ROOM TO STORE ALL OF YOUR TOYS! NEWER FURNACE, CENTRAL A/C & WELL PLUS BRAND NEW WATER HEATER (6/4/18) . .. CALL ME QUICK BEFORE IT IS GONE!
-
2018-06-12$110,000 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
CAMPUS CLOSE! SO CLOSE YO ROOM WITH HIGH BEAMED CEILING FEATURES NEW CARPETING AND LOTS OF WINDOWS FOR NATURAL LIGHT. 2 BEDROOMS & BATH ON MAIN LEVEL (2ND BEDROOM CURRENTLY USED AS FORMAL DINING ROOM). ALL APPLIANCES & BLINDS ARE INCLUDED! MASTER SUITE IS UPSTAIRS AND OFFERS A FULL, PRIVATE BATH PLUS TWO SUPER SIZED WALK IN CLOSETS (ONE IS 4X8 AND ONE IS 7X9) PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT. OVERSIZED GARAGE PLUS STORAGE SHED + LEAN-TO SHED WILL GIVE YOU PLENTY OF ROOM TO STORE ALL OF YOUR TOYS! NEWER FURNACE, CENTRAL A/C & WELL PLUS BRAND NEW WATER HEATER (6/4/18) . .. CALL ME QUICK BEFORE IT IS GONE!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,743 · $312/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,743 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,628
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,743
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,890
- − Management
- −$1,890
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$7,314
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,755
- After-tax cash flow
- $-976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 99,767
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,552
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.65%
- Current HPI
- 213.5397
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+136.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $259,900 IRMLS
- 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $111,000 IRMLS
- 2018-06-12 Listed $110,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+20.3%/yrLatest (2023): $3,743 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…