1125 Carlo Ter SW · South Fulton, GA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-323 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (23.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $245k implies a 880% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.64%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $404,718
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -39.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1105 New Britain Dr SW | 0.69mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,664 (+8%) | 4mo | $465,000 | $175 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-60,811
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-81,695
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30331
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 487
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,186 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$663 /mo · $7,952/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $-323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-184 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-323 | +5% $-392 | +10% $-461 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-495 | -5% $-409 | +0% $-323 | +5% $-236 | +10% $-150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-199 | -0.5pp $-260 | base $-323 | +0.5pp $-386 | +1.0pp $-451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5055 Cascade Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1255 Martinique Ct SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2070 | $2,556 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1288 Elva Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2112 | $1,850 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5628 Cascade Run SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5209 Lakerock Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2798 | $2,795 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-06status Under Contract 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.
-
2026-05-05status Pending Offer Approval 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.
-
2026-04-02$245,000 New 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.
-
1995-06-29soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,952 · $663/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,952 · $663/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,231
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$7,952
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,098
- − Management
- −$2,098
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$7,994
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,954/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — South Fulton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Fulton, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 127,674
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,567
- Household income
- $62,623
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3748.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.38%
- Current HPI
- 204.5402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+880.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $245,000 GAMLS
- 1995-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,952 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…