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1125 Carlo Ter SW
D Composite 40.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

1125 Carlo Ter SW · South Fulton, GA 30331
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,459 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1996 0.42 ac lot $100/sqft · 39% below area Est $405k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.

Key facts

  • 0.42 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1996

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-323 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (10.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $245k implies a 880% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,998 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.64%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$404,718
List price
$245,000
Delta
-39.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1105 New Britain Dr SW 0.69mi 4/4.5 (+1) 2,664 (+8%) 4mo $465,000 $175 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.3%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-60,811
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-24.5%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-81,695
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30331

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
487
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,186 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$663 /mo · $7,952/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$459
Net cashflow
$-323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,594
Max offer price $187,998
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-184 -5% $-253 +0% $-323 +5% $-392 +10% $-461
Rent -10% $-495 -5% $-409 +0% $-323 +5% $-236 +10% $-150
Rate -1.0pp $-199 -0.5pp $-260 base $-323 +0.5pp $-386 +1.0pp $-451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5055 Cascade Rd SW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1816 $1,900 $1.05 25d 1 0.37mi
1255 Martinique Ct SW Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2070 $2,556 $1.23 6d 1 1.03mi
1288 Elva Dr SW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 2112 $1,850 $0.88 45d 1 1.15mi
5628 Cascade Run SW Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.5 2000 $2,400 $1.20 3d 1 1.21mi
5209 Lakerock Dr SW Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2798 $2,795 $1.00 6d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Under Contract 173-char remark
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.

  2. 2026-05-05
    status Pending Offer Approval 173-char remark
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.

  3. 2026-04-02
    listed $245,000 New 173-char remark
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    This property is sold AS-IS. A Hold-Harmless letter must be signed prior to entering the property. Ranch on full basement full repairs are needed. Shown by appointment only.

  4. 1995-06-29
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,952 · $663/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,952 · $663/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,231
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$7,952
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,098
− Management
−$2,098
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$7,994
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,919
After-tax cash flow
$-1,954/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,567
Household income
$62,623
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
3748.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.38%
Current HPI
204.5402
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+880.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $245,000 GAMLS
  • 1995-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,952 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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