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14344 S Hwy 170
B- Composite 67.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

14344 S Hwy 170 · West Fork, AR 72774
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 529 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 2020 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unique opportunity just minutes from town and a short drive to Devil's Den State Park. Situated along Highway 170 with hillside views of the surrounding countryside, this property features two separate living structures, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. The main home includes approximately 529 square feet, while the detached ADU offers 576 square feet. Each has its own heating and cooling system, providing flexibility for guests, rental income, a home office, or multi-generational living. Enjoy the convenience of easy access to town while still being close to some of Northwest Arkansas's best outdoor recreation. A cistern currently serves the property, and a water tap is conveniently

Key facts

  • Easy access to town
  • Hillside views
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

HILLSIDE VIEWSTWO SEPARATE LIVING STRUCTURESHEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMEASY ACCESS TO TOWNCLOSE TO OUTDOOR RECREATIONCISTERN SERVES THE PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Near state park; Trails/paths nearby

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic available; Septic tank; Rural water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Metal roof; Wood siding; Has view
  • Construction: Built with wood siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Gravel driveway; Views; Wooded lot; Sloped terrain; Not in a subdivision; Public road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless cooling; Ductless heating; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace; Media room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 5.5% in West Fork — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#126 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • West Fork School District (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #182 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: West Fork Elementary School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #305 of 454 statewide, top 71%, 340 students, 54% FRL); West Fork Middle School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #170 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 241 students, 47% FRL); West Fork High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 292 statewide, top 77%, 291 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,015 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.65%
Cap rate
23.14%
Cash-on-cash
60.16%
DSCR
3.68
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.9%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$145,758
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
63.7%
Equity multiple
7.40×
Total profit
$356,354
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72774

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,277 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax est. 1.5%
$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,108
Net cashflow
$2,794

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,741
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,931 -5% $2,862 +0% $2,794 +5% $2,725 +10% $2,656
Rent -10% $2,377 -5% $2,585 +0% $2,794 +5% $3,002 +10% $3,210
Rate -1.0pp $2,894 -0.5pp $2,844 base $2,794 +0.5pp $2,742 +1.0pp $2,690

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10512 Wooton Rd Unit 1221867P West Fork, AR 1.0 1.0 645 $5,277 $8.18 14d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $199,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$63,324
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,985
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,066
− Management
−$5,066
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$32,276
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,746
After-tax cash flow
$25,777/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Fork School District
NCES district ID
0514010
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$46,044
Composite
21.26/100
National rank
#8396
State rank
#182 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Fork

Score
66/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#11748

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,298

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,748 people
By 2030
296,414 · +9.1%
By 2040
346,874 · +27.6%
By 2050
398,552 · +46.7%
By 2075
523,309 · +92.6%
By 2100
615,280 · +126.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 19% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Italian 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.93%
Current HPI
267.4622
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $199,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $236 · -21.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…