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152 Fairview Ave
C+ Composite 62.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$259,900

152 Fairview Ave · Mount Pocono, PA 18344
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,378 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1987 0.35 ac lot Est $335k · 22% under $15/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Outdoor lovers can enjoy huge deck and patio. You could practically live outside when the weather permits. Kitchen has alot of cabinets for storage. Huge bedroom suite with two walk in closets. Versatile floorplan with a layout that allows for both privacy and connection. Two car garage and paved driveway. Peaceful location on the outskirts of town of Mount Pocono, where there is shopping and dining, healthcare. Property must be on market for 7 days before any owner-occupant offer is countered/accepted and Investor offers after 30 DOM. Awesome opportunity for rehab loan available to make property stunning again.

Key facts

  • Huge patio
  • Paved driveway
  • Kitchen cabinets

Tags

HUGE DECKHUGE PATIOKITCHEN CABINETSWALK IN CLOSETSPAVED DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
  • Recommended offer: $256k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $256,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.75%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$335,298
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Reeder St 0.41mi 3/2.5 2,366 (-0%) 22mo $365,000 $154 60
47 Moutain Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 2,275 (-4%) 7mo $373,000 $164 58
3 Pointe St 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,340 (-2%) 15mo $299,000 $128 58
74 Center Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 2,605 (+10%) 10mo $320,000 $123 55
441 Manor View Ave 0.66mi 3/3.0 2,400 (+1%) 12mo $245,000 $102 54
6 Cobblewood Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 2,064 (-13%) 11mo $340,000 $165 53
22 Fairview Ave 0.62mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,490 (+5%) 4mo $252,500 $101 53
25 Cobblewood Dr 0.39mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,208 (-7%) 10mo $345,000 $156 52
101 Church Ave 0.34mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,150 (-10%) 11mo $332,000 $154 48
12 Pointe St 0.46mi 3/1.5 2,114 (-11%) 13mo $298,500 $141 47
40 Fairview Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 2,130 (-10%) 19mo $215,000 $101 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$14,857
Equity at exit
$83,775
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$75,406
Equity at exit
$107,596

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18344

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$498 /mo · $5,979/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$15
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$588
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,512
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $375 -5% $301 +0% $228 +5% $154 +10% $80
Rent -10% $6 -5% $117 +0% $228 +5% $338 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $358 -0.5pp $294 base $228 +0.5pp $160 +1.0pp $92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Deerfield Dr Mt Pocono, PA 3.0 2.5 1686 $2,800 $1.66 44d 1 0.20mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$15 · $180/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-17
    listed $259,900 Active
  3. 2025-05-02
    price $299,900
  4. 2025-03-27
    listed $305,000 Active
  5. 2025-03-24
    historical
  6. 2025-03-07
    status Active
  7. 2025-01-31
    price $307,500
  8. 2025-01-22
    price $315,000
  9. 2025-01-02
    price $320,000
  10. 2025-01-02
    status Active
  11. 2024-10-15
    listed $325,000 Active
  12. 2024-07-02
    status Active
  13. 2024-05-01
    price $349,000
  14. 2024-04-26
    price $369,000
  15. 2024-04-09
    listed $379,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,979 · $498/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,979 · $498/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,600
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$5,979
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,688
− Management
−$2,688
− HOA
−$180
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$1,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$325
After-tax cash flow
$3,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Pocono, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,472

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 15% Asian 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 7% Tagalog/Filipino 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.63%
Current HPI
179.2541
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $259,900 PMAR
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $299,900 PMAR
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $305,000 PMAR
  • 2025-03-24 Delisted PMAR
  • 2025-03-07 Relisted PMAR
  • 2025-01-31 Price Changed $307,500 PMAR
  • 2025-01-22 Price Changed $315,000 PMAR
  • 2025-01-02 Price Changed $320,000 PMAR
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted PMAR
  • 2024-10-15 Listed $325,000 PMAR
  • 2024-07-02 Relisted PMAR
  • 2024-05-01 Price Changed $349,000 PMAR
  • 2024-04-26 Price Changed $369,000 PMAR
  • 2024-04-09 Listed $379,000 PMAR

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,979 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…