3673 Randolph St · Lansing, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful large 1 1/2 story 4 bedroom home in Lansing. This home has been completely updated. Huge kitchen with lots of cabinets & an island. Large master bedroom with main floor bath with jacuzzi tub/shower. 3 large bedrooms on 2nd level, a full finished basement, and many other extras. 3 car garage with oversized doors. Home warranty included. You must not miss this one.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1923
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 30322090070000
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Property is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions noted as 0.16
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (25 x 14)
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (Master and two bedrooms on the main level; remaining bedrooms on the second level); Bedroom dimensions include 19 x 11 (Master), 24 x 13 (Living Room listed among main-level rooms), 25 x 14 (Kitchen listed among main-level rooms), additional bedroom dimensions: 20 x 12, 19 x 12, 11 x 10, 13 x 11
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($448/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#296 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, health & safety D+.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.92%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $213,072
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3522 Washington St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $167 | 80 |
| 3535 Washington St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-7%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $269 | 75 |
| 17913 William St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-2%) | 2mo | $204,000 | $189 | 71 |
| 18316 Sherman St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $123 | 67 |
| 3423 Adams St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,149 (+4%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $170 | 66 |
| 8322 Harrison Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,126 (+2%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $221 | 64 |
| 249 Briar Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (-3%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $262 | 63 |
| 17821 Roy St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+8%) | 1mo | $117,500 | $99 | 55 |
| 17526 Shirley Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,175 (+6%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 301 Belden Pl | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 985 (-11%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $213 | 54 |
| 7741 Hohman Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,193 (+8%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $193 | 53 |
| 3316 Ann St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,264 (+14%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $206 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-25,828
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-18,887
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60438
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$390 /mo · $4,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $37
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18335 Sherman St Unit 3 Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3341 S Schultz Dr Lansing, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,357 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2824 186th St Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,900 | $2.07 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 430-char remark
-
2026-06-03$174,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,685 · $390/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,685 · $390/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$4,685
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,723
- − Management
- −$1,723
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$2,353
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #296
- US rank
- #5698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 28,806
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,806
- Household income
- $75,681
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 830.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.65%
- Current HPI
- 210.3398
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+193.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $174,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-30 Sold (MLS) $235,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-09 Listed $239,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2023): $4,685 · +27.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…