116 S Poplar St · Offerle, KS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built area approximately 1,428 above-grade
- Exterior features: No exterior amenities listed; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Double-pane windows; Display window(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#319 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
- Kinsley-Offerle (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #172 of 280 in KS (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Edwards County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $40k implies a 343% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.96%
- DSCR
- 3.85
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.04×
- Total profit
- $45,158
- Equity at exit
- $20,506
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.38×
- Total profit
- $104,800
- Equity at exit
- $33,762
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67563
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,103 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $595
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $623 | -5% $609 | +0% $595 | +5% $582 | +10% $568 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $508 | -5% $552 | +0% $595 | +5% $639 | +10% $683 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $616 | -0.5pp $606 | base $595 | +0.5pp $585 | +1.0pp $575 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $39,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-20$39,900 Active
-
2007-02-01soldstatus
-
2004-07-01soldstatus
-
2001-12-01soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,059
- − Management
- −$1,059
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $6,922
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,484/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kinsley-Offerle
- NCES district ID
- 2008100
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,157
- Composite
- 28.38/100
- National rank
- #12126
- State rank
- #172 of 280 in KS
Livability — Offerle
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #319
- US rank
- #14722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Offerle, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 378
Population outlook (Edwards County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,909 people
- By 2030
- 2,871 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 2,800 · -3.7%
- By 2050
- 2,738 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 2,702 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 2,512 · -13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Edwards
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.3) · D 16.8% · R 82.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -48.8pp · 2024: -65.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.3 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+55.5 2008: R+48.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Current HPI
- 187.7952
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+343.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $39,900 GardenMLS
- 2007-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…