11851 College St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Large basement
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $85k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.77%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,346
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 62.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12802 Dresden St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $22 | 82 |
| 12019 Sanford St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (-2%) | 2mo | $31,500 | $27 | 81 |
| 11461 Engleside St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $63 | 78 |
| 11226 Minden St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,169 (-1%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $42 | 74 |
| 11234 Kenmoor St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 0mo | $75,300 | $63 | 71 |
| 11090 Patrick Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+0%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 12112 Findlay St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-13%) | 0mo | $23,000 | $22 | 66 |
| 11566 Sanford St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-11%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $52 | 64 |
| 12000 Findlay St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-15%) | 4mo | $62,500 | $63 | 62 |
| 17665 Runyon St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (-7%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $46 | 52 |
| 11147 Findlay St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-13%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $34 | 51 |
| 17650 Beland St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,094 (-7%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $61 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $16,538
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $47,444
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $923/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $511
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $535 | +0% $511 | +5% $487 | +10% $463 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $404 | -5% $458 | +0% $511 | +5% $564 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $554 | -0.5pp $533 | base $511 | +0.5pp $489 | +1.0pp $467 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 19207 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1179 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 18d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1293 | $1,325 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-05-01price $85,000 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.
-
2026-04-30price $85,000 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is—don’t miss this versatile opportunity.
-
2026-01-13$100,000 Active 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.
-
2026-01-13$100,000 Active 664-char remark
Show marketing remark (664 chars)
Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.
-
2025-01-10historical $1,300
-
2024-12-18$1,300
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2024-12-18historical $1,300
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2024-11-13$1,300
-
2023-11-08historical $1,200
-
2023-10-17$1,200
-
2002-07-23soldstatus $17,000
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2000-05-23soldstatus $55,161
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $923 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$193/yr (+$16/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$923
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,059
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,214
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+54.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-10 Rental Removed $1,300 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,300 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-18 Rental Removed $1,300 REALSOURCE
- 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 REALSOURCE
- 2023-11-08 Rental Removed $1,200 REALSOURCE
- 2023-10-17 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALSOURCE
- 2002-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $55,161 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $923 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…