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11851 College St
B- Composite 67.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

11851 College St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 159 Days on market
Built 1934 5,227 sqft lot $72/sqft · 62% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Large basement
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE BASEMENTSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $85k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.51%
Cash-on-cash
25.77%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,346
List price
$85,000
Delta
62.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12802 Dresden St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-2%) 5mo $25,000 $22 82
12019 Sanford St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-2%) 2mo $31,500 $27 81
11461 Engleside St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+2%) 5mo $75,000 $63 78
11226 Minden St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,169 (-1%) 3mo $49,000 $42 74
11234 Kenmoor St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+2%) 0mo $75,300 $63 71
11090 Patrick Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,180 (+0%) 3mo $55,000 $47 68
12112 Findlay St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,026 (-13%) 0mo $23,000 $22 66
11566 Sanford St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,048 (-11%) 2mo $55,000 $52 64
12000 Findlay St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-15%) 4mo $62,500 $63 62
17665 Runyon St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,096 (-7%) 1mo $50,000 $46 52
11147 Findlay St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,028 (-13%) 3mo $35,000 $34 51
17650 Beland St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,094 (-7%) 2mo $67,000 $61 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$16,538
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$47,444
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $923/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$511

Break-even live

Break-even rent $706
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $535 +0% $511 +5% $487 +10% $463
Rent -10% $404 -5% $458 +0% $511 +5% $564 +10% $618
Rate -1.0pp $554 -0.5pp $533 base $511 +0.5pp $489 +1.0pp $467

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 18d 1 0.09mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 4d 1 0.10mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 0.17mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 18d 1 0.21mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.21mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 18d 1 0.46mi
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 15d 1 0.50mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 0.57mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 6d 1 0.62mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 18d 1 0.64mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 44d 1 0.80mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 18d 1 0.85mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 19d 1 0.86mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 19d 1 0.93mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 25d 1 0.94mi
18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 3d 1 1.02mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 44d 1 1.05mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 25d 1 1.06mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 25d 1 1.07mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 23d 1 1.07mi
18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 1.08mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 1.15mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 18d 1 1.32mi
7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1234 $1,400 $1.13 17d 1 1.36mi
19207 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1179 $1,800 $1.53 18d 1 1.36mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 25d 1 1.36mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 44d 1 1.37mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 1.41mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 1.43mi
19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1293 $1,325 $1.02 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 142 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    price $85,000 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.

  15. 2026-04-30
    price $85,000 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is—don’t miss this versatile opportunity.

  16. 2026-01-13
    listed $100,000 Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.

  17. 2026-01-13
    listed $100,000 Active 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Welcome to 11851 College St, a classic brick bungalow offering space, flexibility, and opportunity. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a generously sized primary bedroom with two additional areas ideal for walk-in closets, office space, or a sitting area. The large basement provides excellent potential to finish and create additional living space, while the spacious backyard is perfect for entertaining family and friends. Previously rented for $1,400/month, this property is a great option for investors looking to add value and expand their rental portfolio, or for a buyer seeking a starter home. Being sold as-is - don't miss this versatile opportunity.

  18. 2025-01-10
    historical $1,300
  19. 2024-12-18
    listed $1,300
  20. 2024-12-18
    historical $1,300
  21. 2024-11-13
    listed $1,300
  22. 2023-11-08
    historical $1,200
  23. 2023-10-17
    listed $1,200
  24. 2002-07-23
    soldstatus $17,000
  25. 2000-05-23
    soldstatus $55,161

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$923 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$193/yr (+$16/mo · 20.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,240
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$923
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,299
− Management
−$1,299
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$5,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,214
After-tax cash flow
$4,918/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-10 Rental Removed $1,300 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,300 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-18 Rental Removed $1,300 REALSOURCE
  • 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 REALSOURCE
  • 2023-11-08 Rental Removed $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2023-10-17 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2002-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $55,161 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $923 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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