19380 Collins Ave #1503 · Sunny Isles Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$442,150
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2/2 OCEANVIEW CONDO, BAY VIEW, WALKING DISTANCE TO THE BEACH, SHOPS, POOL, GYM, TENNIS COURTS.
Key facts
- Extensive upgrades
- Beach access
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee (includes management, amenities, common areas, cable TV, hot water, internet, grounds and structure maintenance, pool(s), reserve fund, security, trash, water); Association amenities: billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, barbecue/picnic area, pool, tennis courts, transportation service, elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 covered space; Garage door opener; Valet
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Secured lobby; Security guard; Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors; Security/high impact doors; Exterior lighting
- Utilities: Water included in association; Trash included in association; Cable TV included in association; Internet included in association; Hot water included in association; Electric heating and cooling
- Home design: High-rise building (17 stories); Entry on level 15; Resale property; Attached property
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Balcony (open); Tennis court(s); Heated pool; Has a view; Faces west
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Sliding and impact-resistant windows; Unfurnished; Living/dining room; Tub with shower; Walk-in closet(s); Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $442k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $442k).
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,500/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $215k; list at $442k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.66%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-80,886
- Equity at exit
- $140,159
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-122,662
- Equity at exit
- $178,184
Cash invested: $123,802 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1870
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,319
- Tax from tax record
- −$501 /mo · $6,012/yr
- Insurance
- −$184
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA est. from 11 same-building comps
- −$1,238
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$945
- Net cashflow
- $-1,114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $110,538
- Closing costs
- $13,264
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17875 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2122 | $22,000 | $10.37 | 11d | 3 | 0.99mi |
| 17141 Collins Ave #4602 Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $25,000 | $12.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17141 Collins Ave Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $19,000 | $9.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17141 Collins Ave #4602 Sunny Isles Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $25,000 | $12.24 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3180 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $3,650 | $2.84 | 24d | 3 | 1.44mi |
| 3180 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $3,750 | $2.97 | 20d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 3180 S Ocean Dr #1709 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $4,000 | $3.62 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3140 S Ocean Dr Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,250 | $3.86 | 2d | 2 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $442,150 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $442,150 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $442,150 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$442,150 Active
-
2025-05-23historical
-
2025-04-16price $429,000
-
2025-04-01historical $2,900
-
2025-02-14$460,000 Active
-
2025-02-12$2,900
-
2025-02-03historical $2,900
-
2025-02-03$2,900
-
2024-12-27historical $2,900
-
2024-12-27$2,900
-
2024-11-23historical $2,900
-
2024-11-04$2,900
-
2024-10-31historical $2,500
-
2024-09-18price $2,500
-
2024-08-12$2,800
-
2024-08-08historical $3,000
-
2024-07-30$3,000
-
2024-07-03historical $2,800
-
2024-04-13price $2,800
-
2024-03-26$2,900
-
2024-03-20historical $2,900
-
2024-02-22$2,900
-
2024-02-22historical $2,800
-
2024-02-14$2,800
-
2024-01-29historical $2,800
-
2023-12-23$2,800
-
2011-09-29soldstatus $215,000
-
2011-09-20soldstatus $215,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
2/2 OCEANVIEW CONDO, BAY VIEW, WALKING DISTANCE TO THE BEACH, SHOPS, POOL, GYM, TENNIS COURTS.
-
2009-04-10soldstatus $145,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,012 · $501/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,012 · $501/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,995
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,767
- − Property taxes
- −$6,012
- − Insurance
- −$7,329
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,320
- − Management
- −$4,320
- − HOA
- −$14,856
- − Depreciation
- −$12,863
- Taxable loss
- −$20,471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,913
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,452/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sunny Isles Beach
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+204.9% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $442,150 MARMLS
- 2025-05-23 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $429,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-01 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2025-02-14 Listed $460,000 MARMLS
- 2025-02-12 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2025-02-03 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2025-02-03 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-12-27 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-12-27 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-11-23 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-11-04 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-10-31 Rental Removed $2,500 MARMLS
- 2024-09-18 Price Changed $2,500 MARMLS
- 2024-08-12 Listed for Rent $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-08-08 Rental Removed $3,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-30 Listed for Rent $3,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-03 Rental Removed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-04-13 Price Changed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-03-26 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-03-20 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-02-22 Listed for Rent $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-02-22 Rental Removed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-02-14 Listed for Rent $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-01-29 Rental Removed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2023-12-23 Listed for Rent $2,800 MARMLS
- 2011-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 2011-09-20 Sold (MLS) $215,000 MARMLS
- 2009-04-10 Sold (MLS) $145,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,012 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…