112 Adams St · Lonoke, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment property * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS * * * *
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
- Listed 52 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximate lot size: 50 x 106 (0.12 acres); Lot acreage source: Tax records; Square footage source: Tax records; Subdivision: DISMUKES ADDN; County: Lonoke
- Financial info: Financing available: Conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Frame construction; Approx. 954 square feet
- Construction: Frame exterior; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Level lot in a subdivision; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with unspecified/other equipment (see remarks)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling (electric); Central heat (gas)
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Other rooms (see remarks); Kitchen equipment: Other (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($891 rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.7% in Lonoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Lonoke School District (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #146 of 238 in AR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.14%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $38,160
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Adams St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 954 (0%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $37 | 100 |
| 110 Adams St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+1%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $36 | 93 |
| 319 Rosemary Ln | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 872 (-9%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $40 | 63 |
| 114 Lincoln St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (-13%) | 8mo | $112,000 | $135 | 61 |
| 214 George St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,077 (+13%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $138 | 61 |
| 220 E Palm St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,076 (+13%) | 0mo | $11,000 | $10 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,528
- Equity at exit
- $11,481
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $21,450
- Equity at exit
- $6,658
Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72086
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $891 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$404
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $383/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$187
- Net cashflow
- $236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $258 | +0% $236 | +5% $214 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $166 | -5% $201 | +0% $236 | +5% $271 | +10% $306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $256 | base $236 | +0.5pp $216 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,250
- Closing costs
- $2,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 E 3rd St Unit 5 Lonoke, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 412 E 3rd St Unit 3 Lonoke, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 311 E Cherry St Lonoke, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,080 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-13status Under Contract
-
2026-02-20$77,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $383 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $493 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$109/yr (+$9/mo · 28.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,691
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,313
- − Property taxes
- −$383
- − Insurance
- −$385
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$855
- − Management
- −$855
- − Depreciation
- −$2,240
- Taxable income
- $1,659
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lonoke School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509060
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,440
- Composite
- 26.28/100
- National rank
- #7247
- State rank
- #146 of 238 in AR
Livability — Lonoke
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #15446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lonoke, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,250
Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,072 people
- By 2030
- 80,673 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 84,977 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 87,778 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 91,398 · +17.1%
- By 2100
- 87,858 · +12.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.46%
- Current HPI
- 197.6009
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $77,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $383 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…