28 S Queen St · Dover, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the heart of downtown Dover, this classic Colonial-style residence that perfectly balances mid-century character with immense modern revitalization. Built in 1954, this substantial home welcomes you with a versatile layout featuring up to five spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for a growing family or a multi-functional home office setup. The main level flows effortlessly through expansive formal living and dining rooms characterized by vintage details along with modern updates. Make your way into an eat-in kitchen and two charming enclosed porches that invite natural light. There is a deck just off of these areas to enjoy outdoor living. Beyond th
Key facts
- Enclosed porches
- Versatile layout
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $866 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
- Recommended offer: $245k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.2% in Dover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#38 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, commute F.
- Capital School District (urban): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #24 of 26 in DE (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,995/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1500% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $249k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.91%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $297,228
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 S New St | 0.07mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-5%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 220 N Bradford St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,058 (-2%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $141 | 70 |
| 317 S Governors Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,003 (-5%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $112 | 54 |
| 862 Forest St | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-10%) | 8mo | $322,000 | $169 | 47 |
| 215 Columbia Ave | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 | 1,964 (-7%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $165 | 44 |
| 428 S Governors Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-14%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $121 | 42 |
| 53 Washington St | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,424 (+15%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $163 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $15,652
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $88,064
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19904
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$629
- Net cashflow
- $866
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,007 | -5% $937 | +0% $866 | +5% $796 | +10% $725 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $630 | -5% $748 | +0% $866 | +5% $985 | +10% $1,103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $992 | -0.5pp $930 | base $866 | +0.5pp $802 | +1.0pp $736 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629 Ruth Way Dover, DE | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1665 | $3,200 | $1.92 | 44d | 13 | 0.91mi |
| 541 Ruth Way Dover, DE | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $3,200 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 22 Forest Creek Dr Dover, DE | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1499 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-02status $249,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $249,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-03-13price $249,000
-
2026-02-25$299,000 Active
-
2025-11-28historical
-
2025-11-21price $299,900
-
2025-11-21status Active
-
2025-06-14historical
-
2025-05-24$325,000 Active
-
2025-05-09historical
-
2025-04-04soldstatus $160,000
-
2023-03-31soldstatus $116,000
-
2023-03-31$116,000
-
2020-02-05historical
-
2020-01-27soldstatus $43,000 Closed
-
2020-01-07status Pending
-
2019-12-25historical
-
2019-12-09$45,000 Active
-
2019-03-12status Pending
-
2019-03-05historical
-
2018-10-14price $99,000
-
2018-07-12$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,082 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,263 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$181/yr (+$15/mo · 16.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,941
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$1,082
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,875
- − Management
- −$2,875
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable income
- $6,672
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,601
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Capital School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000190
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,499
- Composite
- 19.78/100
- National rank
- #8703
- State rank
- #24 of 26 in DE
Livability — Dover
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #10574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dover, DE
- County
- Kent County · 82,184 people
- City population
- 76,581
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,818
- Household income
- $66,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1500.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.6879
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+116.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $249,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-24 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-09 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-31 Listed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-01-27 Sold (MLS) $43,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-01-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-09 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-10-14 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-07-12 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,082 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…