1311 Herman St · Amarillo, TX 79102

$125,000

8 bd · 8.0 ba · 1,854 sqft · Other public records · 133 Days on market

Built 1927 5,662 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.3/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity! One level Fourplex located on a quiet, short street in Bivins. Sturdy stucco siding. Detached storage building with carport. 1309 Herman is located next door and is also for sale. MLS 25-9218. Both are sold ''as is''.

Key facts

• Quiet street
• Fourplex
• Stucco siding

Tags

• FOURPLEX
• QUIET STREET
• STUCCO SIDING
• DETACHED STORAGE BUILDING
• CARPORT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 8-bed/8.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
• Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.23% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.40%
• DSCR: 1.73
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.29×
• Total profit: $10,146
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.37×
• Total profit: $47,823
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79102

• Home prices YoY: -33.0%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,533 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$26 /mo · $307/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$322
• Net cashflow: $478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $928

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $549	-5% $514	+0% $478	+5% $443	+10% $407
Rent	-10% $357	-5% $418	+0% $478	+5% $539	+10% $599
Rate	-1.0pp $541	-0.5pp $510	base $478	+0.5pp $446	+1.0pp $413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $125,000 Active 133 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $125,000 Active 132 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $125,000 Active 131 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $125,000 Active 130 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $125,000 Active 128 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $125,000 Active 127 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $125,000 Active 125 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $125,000 Active 124 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
16. 2026-02-05
    listed $125,000 Active 232-char remark

    Show marketing remark (232 chars)

    Opportunity! One level Fourplex located on a quiet, short street in Bivins. Sturdy stucco siding. Detached storage building with carport. 1309 Herman is located next door and is also for sale. MLS 25-9218. Both are sold ''as is''.

17. 2006-07-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $307 · $26/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,288 · $191/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,980/yr (+$165/mo · 644.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,402
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$307
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,472
• − Management: −$1,472
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $3,887
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$933
• After-tax cash flow: $4,806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Amarillo ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808130
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $43,478
• Composite: 35.96/100
• National rank: #4798
• State rank: #336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #624
• US rank: #11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Amarillo, TX
• County: Potter County · 72,216 people
• City population: 185,802
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• Population (ZIP): 9,393
• Household income: $51,125
• Rent vs Own: 50.9% rent · 49.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 487.0

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 121,296 people
• By 2030: 120,883 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 119,668 · -1.3%
• By 2050: 117,788 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 110,250 · -9.1%
• By 2100: 92,923 · -23.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 15% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -86.43%
• Current HPI: 175.582
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Amarillo, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 AARMLS
• 2006-07-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $307 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.