3917 Cape Haze Dr #606 · Rotonda, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LUXURY REDEFINED BRAND NEW FEEL WITH PRIVATE ELEVATOR! Experience the pinnacle of coastal living in this meticulously remodeled, three-story END UNIT TOWNHOUSE, redesigned to the standards of a 2026 BRAND NEW BUILD. Boasting over 2,900 sq. ft. under roof, this rare gem features a $60,000 PRIVATE ELEVATOR UPGRADE, providing effortless accessibility to all three levels. The interior radiates modern elegance with soaring high ceilings, brand-new designer flooring, and a sun-drenched OPEN CONCEPT GOURMET KITCHEN featuring premium Corian countertops. ELITE PRIVACY & RESILIENCY: Built for total peace of mind, this residence is a fortress of safety featuring a BRAND NEW METAL ROOF (2025), ne
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Private elevator
- Screened in balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead status indicated; Irrigation equipment installed
- Financial info: Total annual fees $8,820 (monthly equivalent $735); No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Grande Property Management Company; Monthly HOA fee $535; HOA covers escrow reserves, insurance, grounds maintenance, pest control, pool, private road; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, community mailbox, sidewalks, street lights; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Townhouse; Residential property; Faces southwest; Three or more levels; Entry/building number 3917
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Metal roof; Built as part of multi-unit building
- Exterior features: Balcony; Outdoor grill; Lighting; Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Storage; Private mailbox
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Elevator; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Solid surface counters; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Indoor laundry with laundry closet on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($168/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 863 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,190/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 91% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 236 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 236 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.58%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-986
- Equity at exit
- $77,980
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $11,492
- Equity at exit
- $105,890
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33947
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 863
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,190 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$735
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$670
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $139 | -5% $76 | +0% $14 | +5% $-48 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-238 | -5% $-112 | +0% $14 | +5% $140 | +10% $266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $70 | base $14 | +0.5pp $-43 | +1.0pp $-101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3923 Cape Haze Dr #302 Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2044 | $3,100 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 10045 Links Ln #203 Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2 Windward Ter Placida, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1953 | $2,500 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 50 Barracuda Dr Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2154 | $3,000 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 11 Amberjack Ter Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2209 | $7,985 | $3.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 10446 Coquina Ct Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $4,500 | $2.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 45 Oakland Hills Ct Rotonda West, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,700 | $1.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11 Amberjack Ln Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8936 Scallop Way Placida, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2158 | $5,200 | $2.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8581 Amberjack Cir #301 Englewood, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2761 | $6,500 | $2.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8581 Amberjack Cir Unit 1 Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2761 | $6,500 | $2.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 64 Golfview Rd Rotonda West, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1697 | $1,795 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 18 Golfview Ct Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1686 | $3,000 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8400 Placida Rd Unit G202 Rental Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1688 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Boundary Blvd Unit B Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2060 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8541 Amberjack Cir #203 Englewood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2003 | $5,910 | $2.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10600 Lemon Creek Loop #104 Englewood, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2628 | $4,200 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 65 Oakland Hills Pl Rotonda West, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $4,500 | $3.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 118 Caddy Rd Rotonda West, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,795 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $735 · $8,820/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-16price $220,000
-
2026-03-15price $230,000
-
2026-03-03price $250,000
-
2026-02-19price $260,000
-
2026-02-06price $267,000
-
2026-01-12price $275,000
-
2025-11-23price $280,000
-
2025-11-17price $282,000
-
2025-11-10price $283,000
-
2025-11-02price $284,000
-
2025-10-03$285,000 Active
-
2024-02-01historical
-
2022-11-30$400,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,826 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$634/yr (+$53/mo · 53.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$6,218
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,063
- − Management
- −$3,063
- − HOA
- −$8,820
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$2,797
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$671
- After-tax cash flow
- $839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rotonda
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #548
- US rank
- #10359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rotonda, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 10,490
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,447
- Household income
- $80,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 91.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.25%
- Current HPI
- 311.3231
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.22%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-45.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $260,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $267,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $282,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $283,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-02 Price Changed $284,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-03 Listed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-30 Listed $400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,192 · +17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…