143 Park Ave · Milledgeville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in Milledgeville! This spacious 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located at 143 Park Ave offers plenty of room and strong rental potential. The home features a comfortable layout with generous living space, multiple bedrooms ideal for families or roommates, and a convenient location close to downtown Milledgeville, local shopping, dining, and Georgia College. The property is currently being used as a rental and generating $1,300 per month in income, making it an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or purchase a property with long-term potential, this home offers both space and value in a desirable location.
Key facts
- Multiple bedrooms
- Convenient location
- Local shopping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.9% in Milledgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#134 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Baldwin County (town): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #152 of 174 in GA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 375 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 202 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $135k implies a 286% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.38%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,861
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 66.95%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 Swint Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+9%) | 17mo | $21,000 | $17 | 62 |
| 144 Bell Ave SE | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 5mo | $38,000 | $30 | 60 |
| 2245 Irwinton Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-9%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 140A Bell Ave SE | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (+14%) | 10mo | $96,000 | $73 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-9,724
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $11,136
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31061
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 375
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399 Allen Memorial Dr SW Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 180 Carter Pl SW Milledgeville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,125 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 621 S Wilkinson St Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 205 Ivey Dr SW Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,299 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 450 W Franklin St Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Back On Market 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Milledgeville! This spacious 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located at 143 Park Ave offers plenty of room and strong rental potential. The home features a comfortable layout with generous living space, multiple bedrooms ideal for families or roommates, and a convenient location close to downtown Milledgeville, local shopping, dining, and Georgia College. The property is currently being used as a rental and generating $1,300 per month in income, making it an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or purchase a property with long-term potential, this home offers both space and value in a desirable location.
-
2026-05-08status Under Contract 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Milledgeville! This spacious 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located at 143 Park Ave offers plenty of room and strong rental potential. The home features a comfortable layout with generous living space, multiple bedrooms ideal for families or roommates, and a convenient location close to downtown Milledgeville, local shopping, dining, and Georgia College. The property is currently being used as a rental and generating $1,300 per month in income, making it an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or purchase a property with long-term potential, this home offers both space and value in a desirable location.
-
2026-03-27price $135,000 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Milledgeville! This spacious 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located at 143 Park Ave offers plenty of room and strong rental potential. The home features a comfortable layout with generous living space, multiple bedrooms ideal for families or roommates, and a convenient location close to downtown Milledgeville, local shopping, dining, and Georgia College. The property is currently being used as a rental and generating $1,300 per month in income, making it an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or purchase a property with long-term potential, this home offers both space and value in a desirable location.
-
2026-03-01$150,000 New 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Milledgeville! This spacious 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located at 143 Park Ave offers plenty of room and strong rental potential. The home features a comfortable layout with generous living space, multiple bedrooms ideal for families or roommates, and a convenient location close to downtown Milledgeville, local shopping, dining, and Georgia College. The property is currently being used as a rental and generating $1,300 per month in income, making it an excellent opportunity for investors seeking immediate cash flow. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or purchase a property with long-term potential, this home offers both space and value in a desirable location.
-
2025-06-16historical $1,250
-
2025-05-02historical
-
2025-05-02historical
-
2025-02-12price $1,250
-
2025-01-07$1,400
-
2024-12-04$175,000 New
-
2024-12-02$175,000
-
2022-12-15historical
-
2022-05-10$129,000 New
-
2022-04-25historical
-
2022-03-17$79,000 New
-
2018-12-17soldstatus $35,000
-
2018-12-17soldstatus $35,000
-
2018-12-10$29,500
-
2018-12-06$29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,119 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,242 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$123/yr (+$10/mo · 10.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,119
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$181
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 1300210
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,615
- Composite
- 13.61/100
- National rank
- #9508
- State rank
- #152 of 174 in GA
Livability — Milledgeville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #9206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milledgeville, GA
- County
- Baldwin County · 41,764 people
- City population
- 41,764
- Metro
- Milledgeville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,764
- Household income
- $54,263
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1630.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,602 people
- By 2030
- 45,481 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 44,310 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,129 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 36,819 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 29,320 · -35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.8pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+1.7 2012: D+5.5 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.16%
- Current HPI
- 241.3758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.05%
- Metro
- Milledgeville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+357.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-01 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-16 Rental Removed $1,250 GAMLS
- 2025-05-02 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-05-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-02-12 Price Changed $1,250 GAMLS
- 2025-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,400 GAMLS
- 2024-12-04 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-02 Listed $175,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-12-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-05-10 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
- 2022-04-25 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-03-17 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2018-12-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 LCBR
- 2018-12-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 GAMLS
- 2018-12-10 Listed $29,500 LCBR
- 2018-12-06 Listed $29,500 GAMLS
Property tax history
+22.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,119 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…