1320 N Oak Harbor St #97 · Oak Harbor, WA 98277

$55,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,139 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market

Built 1979 Est $97k · 43% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This well-maintained double-wide offers a rare combination of modern updates and exceptional privacy. The interior features a spacious, oversized kitchen perfect for hosting, three comfortable bedrooms, and newly updated bathrooms. This home is situated to provide ample space between neighbors, offering a sense of openness rarely found in park living. With plenty of room for storage, two oversized parking spaces, and an affordable price point, this move-in-ready home delivers comfort without compromise. Space rent does not include all utilities. Sold As Is.

Key facts

• Modern updates
• Move in ready
• 2 parking spots

Tags

• MODERN UPDATES
• SPACIOUS OVERSIZED KITCHEN
• NEWLY UPDATED BATHROOMS
• AMPLE SPACE BETWEEN NEIGHBORS
• MOVE IN READY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 36.1% vs local median 2.7% in Oak Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#149 in WA, #3,120 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living D+.
• Oak Harbor School District (town): math 49% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #98 of 291 in WA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Oak Harbor High School (1,566 students, 38% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 402 units permitted in Island County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Island County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.90% ✓
• Cap rate: 36.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 106.44%
• DSCR: 5.74
• GRM: 2.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $96,815
• Comps found: 10

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1320 N Oak Harbor St #97	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,140 (+0%)	1mo	$55,000	$48	99
1320 N Oak Harbor St #178	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,202 (+6%)	15mo	$121,000	$101	78
1361 NE Goldie Rd #17	0.39mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,196 (+5%)	10mo	$76,000	$64	60
700 NW Crosby Ave #146	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,134 (-0%)	8mo	$75,000	$66	58
700 NW Crosby Ave #35	0.73mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,152 (+1%)	5mo	$86,685	$75	55
225 NE Ernst St #26	0.61mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,120 (-2%)	12mo	$110,000	$98	54
2890 N Oak Harbor Rd #7	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,296 (+14%)	16mo	$110,000	$85	48
700 NW Crosby Ave #54	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,296 (+14%)	3mo	$22,000	$17	41
225 NE Ernst St #73	0.64mi	2/2.0 (-1)	976 (-14%)	2mo	$126,900	$130	39
225 NE Ernst St #17	0.58mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,056 (-7%)	24mo	$160,000	$152	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.41×
• Total profit: $83,296
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 14.44×
• Total profit: $206,991
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98277

• Rents YoY: 5.4%
• Active inventory: 278
• Price-to-rent: 2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,143 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$16 /mo · $189/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$450
• Net cashflow: $1,366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $414

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,397	-5% $1,382	+0% $1,366	+5% $1,350	+10% $1,335
Rent	-10% $1,197	-5% $1,281	+0% $1,366	+5% $1,451	+10% $1,535
Rate	-1.0pp $1,394	-0.5pp $1,380	base $1,366	+0.5pp $1,352	+1.0pp $1,337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 13 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
865 N Oak Harbor St Unit 203 Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.0	750	$1,565	$2.09	45d	1	0.38mi
33010 State Route 20 Unit B Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.0	1100	$2,440	$2.22	45d	1	0.54mi
563 NE Kettle St Unit A2 Oak Harbor, WA	3.0	2.5	1241	$2,415	$1.95	45d	1	0.63mi
300 N Oak Harbor St Unit B102 Oak Harbor, WA	3.0	2.0	1284	$2,015	$1.57	45d	1	0.65mi
790 NW Dory Dr Oak Harbor, WA	3.0	2.0	1344	$2,415	$1.80	45d	1	0.70mi
1661 NE 16th Ave Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.0	825	$1,840	$2.23	3d	1	0.72mi
395 S Oak Harbor St Unit 207 [[?]165] Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.5	1000	$2,030	$2.03	45d	1	1.04mi
310 SE Midway Blvd Unit 207 Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.0	791	$1,640	$2.07	45d	1	1.08mi
1518 NW 9th Pl Oak Harbor, WA	3.0	2.0	1167	$2,415	$2.07	22d	1	1.11mi
413 SE Maylor St Apt 202 Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.0	884	$1,650	$1.87	45d	1	1.15mi
1282 NW Lanyard Loop #2 Oak Harbor, WA	3.0	2.5	1330	$2,315	$1.74	45d	1	1.22mi
141 SW 6th Ave Unit D101 Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.5	982	$1,915	$1.95	45d	1	1.25mi
1051 SE 8th Ave Unit C201 Oak Harbor, WA	2.0	1.0	970	$1,500	$1.55	45d	1	1.34mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-04
   listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $189 · $16/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $539 · $45/mo
• Expected delta: +$350/yr (+$29/mo · 184.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,718
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$189
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,057
• − Management: −$2,057
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $16,458
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,950
• After-tax cash flow: $12,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Oak Harbor School District
• NCES district ID: 5305940
• Math proficiency: 49% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $53,606
• Composite: 49.07/100
• National rank: #4427
• State rank: #98 of 291 in WA

Livability — Oak Harbor

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #149
• US rank: #3120

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A- Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Oak Harbor, WA
• County: Island County · 71,196 people
• City population: 40,917
• Metro: Oak Harbor, WA
• Population (ZIP): 40,917
• Household income: $83,253
• Rent vs Own: 40.3% rent · 59.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1359.0

Population outlook (Island County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 82,019 people
• By 2030: 81,329 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 78,552 · -4.2%
• By 2050: 77,042 · -6.1%
• By 2075: 80,799 · -1.5%
• By 2100: 84,451 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 8% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Island

• 2024 margin: D (+16.6) · D 56.8% · R 40.3% · Other 2.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +10.3pp toward D · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 16.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+12.0 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -608.47%
• Current HPI: 188.2874
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.36%
• Metro: Oak Harbor, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-04 Listed $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $189 · +67.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.