3665 Burning Star 2 Rd · Du Quoin, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Two parcels
- Front porch
- Sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is in unincorporated Du Quoin township; Directions listed as 3665 Burning Star 2 Road, Pinckneyville, IL 62274
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Built before 1978; School bus service available
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated
- Exterior features: Approximately 1.0–1.99 acre lot; Lot dimensions: 66211 (units as provided)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Kitchen/dining combo layout
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom (main level) with full bath
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Kitchen/dining combo; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9 x 9)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#611 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Pinckneyville Chsd 101 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #557 of 919 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Community Cons School (math 22% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 203 students, 0% FRL); Pinckneyville Comm High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 429 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $99k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.08%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,410
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3612 Norwood Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-7%) | 22mo | $164,900 | $113 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,648
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $15,023
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62832
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,157 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $266 | -5% $238 | +0% $210 | +5% $182 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $118 | -5% $164 | +0% $210 | +5% $256 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $260 | -0.5pp $235 | base $210 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $158 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $99,000
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.
-
2026-04-30price $99,000 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.
-
2026-04-10$129,000 Active
-
2026-03-28price $129,000 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.
-
2026-02-17$149,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2013-09-24soldstatus $36,667
-
2006-05-16soldstatus $48,000
-
2004-12-01historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,721 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,984 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$263/yr (+$22/mo · 15.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,879
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,721
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,110
- − Management
- −$1,110
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$244
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinckneyville Chsd 101
- NCES district ID
- 1731620
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,433
- Composite
- 26.43/100
- National rank
- #12648
- State rank
- #557 of 919 in IL
Livability — Du Quoin
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #611
- US rank
- #12592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,903
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,903
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,868 people
- By 2030
- 19,131 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 17,720 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 16,057 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 11,979 · -39.7%
- By 2100
- 8,434 · -57.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.7 2016: R+45.1 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.77%
- Current HPI
- 102.0463
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+106.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $129,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listed $149,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $36,667 Public Records
- 2006-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,721 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…