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3665 Burning Star 2 Rd
B- Composite 65.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

3665 Burning Star 2 Rd · Du Quoin, IL 62832
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,570 sqft · SingleFamily · 72 Days on market
Built 1886 1.52 ac lot Est $177k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Two parcels
  • Front porch
  • Sunroom

Tags

1.52 ACRESTWO PARCELSFRONT PORCHSUNROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is in unincorporated Du Quoin township; Directions listed as 3665 Burning Star 2 Road, Pinckneyville, IL 62274
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Built before 1978; School bus service available
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.0–1.99 acre lot; Lot dimensions: 66211 (units as provided)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Kitchen/dining combo layout
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom (main level) with full bath
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Kitchen/dining combo; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9 x 9)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#611 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Pinckneyville Chsd 101 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #557 of 919 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Community Cons School (math 22% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 203 students, 0% FRL); Pinckneyville Comm High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 429 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $99k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.08%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$177,410
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3612 Norwood Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-7%) 22mo $164,900 $113 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-2,648
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$15,023
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62832

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,157 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,721/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $891
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $266 -5% $238 +0% $210 +5% $182 +10% $154
Rent -10% $118 -5% $164 +0% $210 +5% $256 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $260 -0.5pp $235 base $210 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    price $99,000
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.

  19. 2026-04-30
    price $99,000 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.

  20. 2026-04-10
    listed $129,000 Active
  21. 2026-03-28
    price $129,000 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.

  22. 2026-02-17
    listed $149,000 Active 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Situated on approximately 1.52 acres, this property includes two parcels being sold together. The primary residence offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The additional parcel features a 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home complete with a welcoming front porch and sunroom. Properties need TLC and are being sold as-is.

  23. 2021-08-06
    historical
  24. 2013-09-24
    soldstatus $36,667
  25. 2006-05-16
    soldstatus $48,000
  26. 2004-12-01
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,721 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,984 · $165/mo
Expected delta
+$263/yr (+$22/mo · 15.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,879
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,721
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,110
− Management
−$1,110
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$244
After-tax cash flow
$2,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinckneyville Chsd 101
NCES district ID
1731620
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$43,433
Composite
26.43/100
National rank
#12648
State rank
#557 of 919 in IL

Livability — Du Quoin

Score
65/100
State rank
#611
US rank
#12592

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,903
Population (ZIP)
8,903

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,868 people
By 2030
19,131 · -3.7%
By 2040
17,720 · -10.8%
By 2050
16,057 · -19.2%
By 2075
11,979 · -39.7%
By 2100
8,434 · -57.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-48.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.7 2016: R+45.1 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.77%
Current HPI
102.0463
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $129,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $149,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $36,667 Public Records
  • 2006-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,721 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…