1399 7th St · Murphysboro, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 2-bedroom, 1-bath fixer-upper conveniently located close to shopping and amenities! This home sits on a large lot with a wooded backyard and includes a detached 2-car garage. With a little vision and TLC, this could be the perfect place to call home.
Key facts
- Wooded backyard
- Large lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric; Electricity and water are connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: City lot with few trees and generally level terrain
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom located on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas cooktop
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
- Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 6.2% in Murphysboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,265 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Murphysboro CUSD 186 (town): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #585 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Murphysboro High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 598 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.85%
- DSCR
- 4.20
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,475
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1106 N 11th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,692 (+1%) | 10mo | $85,800 | $51 | 61 |
| 1106 N 11th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,692 (+1%) | 10mo | $85,800 | $51 | 61 |
| 45 Candy Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+0%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $95 | 60 |
| 45 Candy Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+0%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $95 | 60 |
| 1206 N 14th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,435 (-14%) | 2mo | $108,000 | $75 | 54 |
| 115 Bob A Rosa Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,702 (+2%) | 19mo | $186,800 | $110 | 45 |
| 115 Bob A Rosa Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,702 (+2%) | 19mo | $186,800 | $110 | 45 |
| 707 Illinois Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (+7%) | 11mo | $117,500 | $66 | 39 |
| 707 Illinois Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (+7%) | 11mo | $117,500 | $66 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $38,889
- Equity at exit
- $6,397
- IRR
- 75.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.74×
- Total profit
- $92,990
- Equity at exit
- $3,709
Cash invested: $12,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62966
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $958/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $719
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $743 | -5% $731 | +0% $719 | +5% $707 | +10% $695 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $615 | -5% $667 | +0% $719 | +5% $771 | +10% $823 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $741 | -0.5pp $730 | base $719 | +0.5pp $708 | +1.0pp $697 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,725
- Closing costs
- $1,287
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $42,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $42,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $42,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Cute 2-bedroom, 1-bath fixer-upper conveniently located close to shopping and amenities! This home sits on a large lot with a wooded backyard and includes a detached 2-car garage. With a little vision and TLC, this could be the perfect place to call home.
-
2026-06-15$42,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Cute 2-bedroom, 1-bath fixer-upper conveniently located close to shopping and amenities! This home sits on a large lot with a wooded backyard and includes a detached 2-car garage. With a little vision and TLC, this could be the perfect place to call home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,403
- − Property taxes
- −$958
- − Insurance
- −$214
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$1,248
- Taxable income
- $8,470
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,033
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Murphysboro CUSD 186
- NCES district ID
- 1727610
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,963
- Composite
- 7.97/100
- National rank
- #9925
- State rank
- #585 of 620 in IL
Livability — Murphysboro
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1265
- US rank
- #23786
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Murphysboro, IL
- City population
- 13,995
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,995
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,093 people
- By 2030
- 59,628 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,495 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 58,811 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 57,683 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 55,337 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.39%
- Current HPI
- 95.9393
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $42,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-15 Listed $42,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2024): $958 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…