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Oliver Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 41.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,500

Oliver Plan · Youngsville, LA 70592
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,790 sqft · SingleFamily · 106 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

None

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 106 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $315,500 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $321,125.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $316k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (2.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $270k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 675 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $269,751 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.96%
Cash-on-cash
-1.18%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$321,125
List price
$315,500
Delta
-1.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 Central Village Way 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,874 (+5%) 0mo $318,600 $170 86
226 Central Village Way 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,767 (-1%) 7mo $311,500 $176 83
203 Central Village Way 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,873 (+5%) 2mo $318,500 $170 83
210 Central Village Way 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,843 (+3%) 3mo $317,000 $172 81
202 Central Village Way 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,719 (-4%) 2mo $302,200 $176 80
100 Rio Dr 0.18mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,843 (+3%) 1mo $321,900 $175 79
114 High Point Way 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,702 (-5%) 1mo $307,406 $181 78
200 Central Village Way 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,639 (-8%) 0mo $294,500 $180 73
228 Santander Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,006 (+12%) 1mo $349,900 $174 70
202 San Sebastian Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (-12%) 2mo $299,000 $190 61
210 San Sebastian Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,597 (-11%) 5mo $302,000 $189 61
101 Amaya Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,563 (-13%) 5mo $236,900 $152 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-61,228
Equity at exit
$47,881
10-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-74,822
Equity at exit
$27,765

Cash invested: $89,915 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70592

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
675
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,698 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,684
Tax est. 1.5%
$401 /mo · $4,817/yr
Insurance
$134
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$566
Net cashflow
$-88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,809
Max offer price $308,364
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,281
Closing costs
$9,634
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
117 San Sebastian Dr Youngsville, LA 4.0 3.0 2239 $3,500 $1.56 13d 1 0.21mi
305 San Sebastian Dr Youngsville, LA 4.0 3.0 2128 $2,800 $1.32 43d 1 0.22mi
213 Garden Oaks Ave Youngsville, LA 4.0 3.0 2334 $2,600 $1.11 43d 1 0.53mi
106 Royal Oak St Youngsville, LA 3.0 2.0 1616 $1,895 $1.17 43d 1 0.54mi
111 Abbeywood Ct Youngsville, LA 3.0 2.0 1616 $1,800 $1.11 20d 1 0.67mi
102 Border Ct Youngsville, LA 4.0 2.0 1786 $2,100 $1.18 13d 1 0.67mi
110 Canton Ct Youngsville, LA 3.0 2.0 1423 $1,995 $1.40 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,500 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,500 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,500 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,500 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $315,500 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,500 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $315,500 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,500 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $315,500 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $313,500 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $313,500 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $313,500 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $313,500 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $313,500 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $313,500 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $313,500 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $313,500 Active 87 DOM
  18. 2026-03-04
    listed $313,500 Active 4-char remark
    Show marketing remark (4 chars)

    None

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,370
− Mortgage interest
−$17,988
− Property taxes
−$4,817
− Insurance
−$1,606
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,590
− Management
−$2,590
− Depreciation
−$9,342
Taxable loss
−$6,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,575
After-tax cash flow
$516/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and would be a great investment.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafayette Parish
NCES district ID
2200870
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -24.00%
Median HH income
$50,238
Composite
36.15/100
National rank
#4741
State rank
#19 of 98 in LA

Livability — Youngsville

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2614

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
City population
32,167
Metro
Lafayette, LA
Population (ZIP)
32,167
Household income
$93,204
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
424.0

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,930 people
By 2030
301,092 · +7.2%
By 2040
339,456 · +20.8%
By 2050
375,156 · +33.5%
By 2075
451,672 · +60.8%
By 2100
497,203 · +77.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 24% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.24%
Current HPI
135.2825
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Lafayette, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $313,500 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…