3220 Maryland Ave · Lynchburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home on a quiet street. Fresh paint throughout highlights refinished original hardwood floors and new LVP. The refreshed kitchen features crisp white cabinetry and flows into bright, welcoming living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and abundant storage throughout the home. Major improvements include a basement renovation, new windows, and electrical and lighting updates. A new hot water heater was installed 02/2026, and the HVAC was recently serviced with a new thermostat added. The partial unfinished basement provides flexible storage space, while the lower-level bedroom offers its own exterior entrance - ideal for a home office, in-law suite, guest quarters, or potential rental space. Recently landscaped with a spacious, flat backyard, relaxing side deck, and personal driveway parking. Move-in ready with substantial system updates already completed. Schedule your showing before it's gone!
Key facts
- Basement renovation
- New foundation walls
- New lvp
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($679/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.0% in Lynchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in VA, #58 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Lynchburg City Public School District (urban): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #104 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 472 units permitted in Lynchburg city in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lynchburg County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $128k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.39%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,800
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 7.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2117 Craig St St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+2%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $129 | 83 |
| 2961 Triangle Pl | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (-4%) | 4mo | $73,650 | $57 | 74 |
| 2020 Georgia Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,328 (-1%) | 12mo | $218,000 | $164 | 74 |
| 1712 Arkansas Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+0%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $141 | 73 |
| 2236 Easley Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,331 (-1%) | 11mo | $198,000 | $149 | 71 |
| 2307 Cobbs St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,425 (+6%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 1867 Seabury Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-10%) | 2mo | $21,000 | $18 | 58 |
| 3311 Campbell Ave Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (+14%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 2212 Kings St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,247 (-7%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 3213 Campbell Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+14%) | 12mo | $241,000 | $158 | 49 |
| 1531 Augusta St. St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,513 (+13%) | 4mo | $192,000 | $127 | 40 |
| 1732 Otey St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $77 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-27,455
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-29,953
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24501
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,172/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $57
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2205 Mayflower Dr Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2518 Carter St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2336 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $995 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2269 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1625 Shaffer St Lynchburg, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $850 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 710 Grady St Unit B Lynchburg, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1872 | $795 | $0.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1518 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1308 16th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1514 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1401 Kemper St Lynchburg, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,167 | $1.04 | 21d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 2734 Fort Ave Lynchburg, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1521 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,195 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1415 Floyd St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1219 Pierce St Unit 1221 Lynchburg, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $825 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 320 Kenyon St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,595 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 803 Mansfield Ave Lynchburg, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1106 Pierce St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $875 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-07price $175,000 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home on a quiet street. Fresh paint throughout highlights refinished original hardwood floors and new LVP. The refreshed kitchen features crisp white cabinetry and flows into bright, welcoming living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and abundant storage throughout the home. Major improvements include a basement renovation, new windows, and electrical and lighting updates. A new hot water heater was installed 02/2026, and the HVAC was recently serviced with a new thermostat added. The partial unfinished basement provides flexible storage space, while the lower-level bedroom offers its own exterior entrance - ideal for a home office, in-law suite, guest quarters, or potential rental space. Recently landscaped with a spacious, flat backyard, relaxing side deck, and personal driveway parking. Move-in ready with substantial system updates already completed. Schedule your showing before it's gone!
-
2026-04-16price $185,000 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home on a quiet street. Fresh paint throughout highlights refinished original hardwood floors and new LVP. The refreshed kitchen features crisp white cabinetry and flows into bright, welcoming living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and abundant storage throughout the home. Major improvements include a basement renovation, new windows, and electrical and lighting updates. A new hot water heater was installed 02/2026, and the HVAC was recently serviced with a new thermostat added. The partial unfinished basement provides flexible storage space, while the lower-level bedroom offers its own exterior entrance - ideal for a home office, in-law suite, guest quarters, or potential rental space. Recently landscaped with a spacious, flat backyard, relaxing side deck, and personal driveway parking. Move-in ready with substantial system updates already completed. Schedule your showing before it's gone!
-
2026-03-13price $190,000 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home on a quiet street. Fresh paint throughout highlights refinished original hardwood floors and new LVP. The refreshed kitchen features crisp white cabinetry and flows into bright, welcoming living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and abundant storage throughout the home. Major improvements include a basement renovation, new windows, and electrical and lighting updates. A new hot water heater was installed 02/2026, and the HVAC was recently serviced with a new thermostat added. The partial unfinished basement provides flexible storage space, while the lower-level bedroom offers its own exterior entrance - ideal for a home office, in-law suite, guest quarters, or potential rental space. Recently landscaped with a spacious, flat backyard, relaxing side deck, and personal driveway parking. Move-in ready with substantial system updates already completed. Schedule your showing before it's gone!
-
2026-03-03$200,000 Active 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home on a quiet street. Fresh paint throughout highlights refinished original hardwood floors and new LVP. The refreshed kitchen features crisp white cabinetry and flows into bright, welcoming living spaces. Enjoy the convenience of main-level laundry and abundant storage throughout the home. Major improvements include a basement renovation, new windows, and electrical and lighting updates. A new hot water heater was installed 02/2026, and the HVAC was recently serviced with a new thermostat added. The partial unfinished basement provides flexible storage space, while the lower-level bedroom offers its own exterior entrance - ideal for a home office, in-law suite, guest quarters, or potential rental space. Recently landscaped with a spacious, flat backyard, relaxing side deck, and personal driveway parking. Move-in ready with substantial system updates already completed. Schedule your showing before it's gone!
-
2022-05-03soldstatus $128,000
-
2022-04-29historical 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This cozy 3BR, 2BA bungalow is move-in ready. Minutes from Liberty, U of Lynchburg, and Downtown. This home boasts a spacious living room, and eat-in kitchen, with bedrooms spaced out for privacy. Conveniently located laundry room and 2nd full bath has been recently added. All appliances convey. Could be great home or investment property. Dont miss out on this one!
-
2022-04-29soldstatus $128,000 Closed 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This cozy 3BR, 2BA bungalow is move-in ready. Minutes from Liberty, U of Lynchburg, and Downtown. This home boasts a spacious living room, and eat-in kitchen, with bedrooms spaced out for privacy. Conveniently located laundry room and 2nd full bath has been recently added. All appliances convey. Could be great home or investment property. Dont miss out on this one!
-
2022-04-07historical 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This cozy 3BR, 2BA bungalow is move-in ready. Minutes from Liberty, U of Lynchburg, and Downtown. This home boasts a spacious living room, and eat-in kitchen, with bedrooms spaced out for privacy. Conveniently located laundry room and 2nd full bath has been recently added. All appliances convey. Could be great home or investment property. Dont miss out on this one!
-
2022-03-25$134,900 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
This cozy 3BR, 2BA bungalow is move-in ready. Minutes from Liberty, U of Lynchburg, and Downtown. This home boasts a spacious living room, and eat-in kitchen, with bedrooms spaced out for privacy. Conveniently located laundry room and 2nd full bath has been recently added. All appliances convey. Could be great home or investment property. Dont miss out on this one!
-
2007-11-13soldstatus $65,000
-
2007-09-12soldstatus $40,386
-
2007-09-12soldstatus $47,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,172 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,435 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$263/yr (+$22/mo · 22.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,172
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,332
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lynchburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102340
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,097
- Composite
- 40.4/100
- National rank
- #3730
- State rank
- #104 of 131 in VA
Livability — Lynchburg
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #58
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lynchburg, VA
- County
- Lynchburg City · 97,036 people
- City population
- 97,036
- Metro
- Lynchburg, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,006
- Household income
- $42,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1717.0
Population outlook (Lynchburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,977 people
- By 2030
- 93,626 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 106,145 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 120,783 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 162,249 · +84.4%
- By 2100
- 191,358 · +117.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 34% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lynchburg
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: D+2.6 2016: R+9.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.06%
- Current HPI
- 223.6839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Lynchburg, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+333.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $175,000 LMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $185,000 LMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $190,000 LMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $200,000 LMLS
- 2022-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-29 Delisted — LMLS
- 2022-04-29 Sold (MLS) $128,000 LMLS
- 2022-04-07 Delisted — LMLS
- 2022-03-25 Listed $134,900 LMLS
- 2007-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2007-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2007-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $40,386 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,172 · +24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…