801 Kimsey Dr · Lake Murray of Richland, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$345,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2-Story Home in Westcott Ridge that is Move-In Ready!Welcome to this charming two-story residence with neutral paint, gleaming hardwood floors, and an abundance of natural light throughout. Situated on a spacious lot with a private backyard, this well-maintained home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and functionality for families. Gather in the open kitchen with family and friends while music plays from the in-ceiling speakers. Multiple generously sized secondary bedrooms with newly cleaned carpet and ceiling fans. Bright, open bonus/flex room perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living area. Summer is around the corner and your family is sure to enjoy the
Key facts
- Private backyard
- 2 story home
- In ceiling speakers
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present; association fee includes pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story house
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite countertops; Smooth surface range
- Bedrooms: Primary suite on the main level with private bath and walk-in closet; Second bedroom on the second level with shared bath; Third bedroom on the second level with shared bath; Fourth bedroom on the second level with shared bath
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One partial bathroom; One main-level full bathroom; One main-level half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tankless hot water heater; Smooth surface range; One fireplace; Granite countertops
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $346k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $326k (5.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $309k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $309k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#102 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lake Murray Elementary (math 78% / reading 82%, grade A+, #4 of 597 statewide, top 1%, 809 students, 18% FRL); Chapin High (math 82% / reading 91%, grade A, #7 of 196 statewide, top 4%, 1,615 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 27% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 83% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 05 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 443 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($336k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.39%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-63,041
- Equity at exit
- $51,575
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-63,497
- Equity at exit
- $29,907
Cash invested: $96,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29036
- Active inventory
- 443
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,085 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,814
- Tax from tax record
- −$543 /mo · $6,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$48
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$648
- Net cashflow
- $-112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $84 | -5% $-14 | +0% $-112 | +5% $-210 | +10% $-308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-356 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-112 | +5% $10 | +10% $132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $62 | -0.5pp $-24 | base $-112 | +0.5pp $-202 | +1.0pp $-293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,475
- Closing costs
- $10,377
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1213 Portrait Hill Dr Chapin, SC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2472 | $2,695 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 563 Malachite Ln Chapin, SC | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2686 | $3,000 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $48 · $576/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $345,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $345,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $345,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $345,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $345,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $345,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $345,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $345,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $345,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $345,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $345,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $345,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $345,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $345,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $345,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$345,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,518 · $543/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,518 · $543/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,376
- − Property taxes
- −$6,518
- − Insurance
- −$1,730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,962
- − Management
- −$2,962
- − HOA
- −$576
- − Depreciation
- −$10,063
- Taxable loss
- −$7,164
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,719
- After-tax cash flow
- $375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 05
- NCES district ID
- 4502820
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,732
- Composite
- 45.28/100
- National rank
- #2656
- State rank
- #5 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lake Murray of Richland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #10903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lexington County · 232,571 people
- City population
- 179
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,620
- Household income
- $113,986
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 212.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.76%
- Current HPI
- 248.3807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $345,900 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,518 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…