106 W South St · Bismarck, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!
Key facts
- All new windows
- Brand new roof
- Double lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by Keller Williams Realty - Danville
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story
- Construction: Built with block, vinyl siding, and wood siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Road surface: Other; Lot approximately 0.34 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#844 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Bismarck Henning CUSD (rural): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #287 of 620 in IL (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $755 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $617 appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 150.14%
- DSCR
- 7.68
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.42×
- Total profit
- $47,140
- Equity at exit
- $9,088
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.78×
- Total profit
- $105,187
- Equity at exit
- $14,079
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61814
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $701
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $20,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-14pricedays on market $20,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $25,000
-
2026-03-19$29,900 Active
-
2022-04-28soldstatus $43,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!
-
2022-04-28soldstatus $43,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!
-
2022-04-28soldstatus $43,900
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!
-
2022-03-11$43,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!
-
2022-03-11$43,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!
-
2011-11-21soldstatus $47,000
-
2008-06-23soldstatus $28,000
-
2008-04-10soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,742
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $8,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,064
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bismarck Henning CUSD
- NCES district ID
- 1706390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,494
- Composite
- 23.54/100
- National rank
- #7862
- State rank
- #287 of 620 in IL
Livability — Bismarck
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #844
- US rank
- #16640
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bismarck, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,207
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,775 people
- By 2030
- 69,235 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 62,360 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 55,539 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 40,606 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 26,985 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Current HPI
- 137.9851
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $25,000 CIBR
- 2026-03-19 Listed $29,900 CIBR
- 2022-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
- 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $43,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $43,900 CIBR
- 2022-03-11 Listed $43,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-11 Listed $43,900 CIBR
- 2011-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,416 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…