CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
106 W South St
D+ Composite 49.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$20,000

106 W South St · Bismarck, IL 61814
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · Other · 92 Days on market
Built 1906 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!

Key facts

  • All new windows
  • Brand new roof
  • Double lot

Tags

BRAND NEW ROOFALL NEW WINDOWSDOUBLE LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by Keller Williams Realty - Danville

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story
  • Construction: Built with block, vinyl siding, and wood siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Road surface: Other; Lot approximately 0.34 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#844 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Bismarck Henning CUSD (rural): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #287 of 620 in IL (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $755 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $617 appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $18,200 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.31%
Cap rate
48.33%
Cash-on-cash
150.14%
DSCR
7.68
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.42×
Total profit
$47,140
Equity at exit
$9,088
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.78×
Total profit
$105,187
Equity at exit
$14,079

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61814

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$701

Break-even live

Break-even rent $175
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $20,000 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $20,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $25,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    price $25,000
  17. 2026-03-19
    listed $29,900 Active
  18. 2022-04-28
    soldstatus $43,900 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!

  19. 2022-04-28
    soldstatus $43,900 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!

  20. 2022-04-28
    soldstatus $43,900
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!

  21. 2022-03-11
    listed $43,900 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!

  22. 2022-03-11
    listed $43,900 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Take a look at this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Bismarck! The furnace was new in 2021, and the water heater was replaced in 2019. This house needs some TLC. It could be a great investment property or a first-time home. There is an attached laundry room and a 1-car garage. You will love the large lot. Call today to take a look!

  23. 2011-11-21
    soldstatus $47,000
  24. 2008-06-23
    soldstatus $28,000
  25. 2008-04-10
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,742
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,019
− Management
−$1,019
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$8,602
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,064
After-tax cash flow
$6,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bismarck Henning CUSD
NCES district ID
1706390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$61,494
Composite
23.54/100
National rank
#7862
State rank
#287 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bismarck

Score
62/100
State rank
#844
US rank
#16640

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bismarck, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,207

Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,775 people
By 2030
69,235 · -4.9%
By 2040
62,360 · -14.3%
By 2050
55,539 · -23.7%
By 2075
40,606 · -44.2%
By 2100
26,985 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.08%
Current HPI
137.9851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $25,000 CIBR
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $29,900 CIBR
  • 2022-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
  • 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $43,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $43,900 CIBR
  • 2022-03-11 Listed $43,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-11 Listed $43,900 CIBR
  • 2011-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,416 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…