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207 N Church St
C Composite 57.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,600

207 N Church St · Hudson, MI 49247
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,293 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot $46/sqft · 46% below area Est $136k · 22% under ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Victorian two story home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Bright and spacious rooms with improvements over the years. Reserve Auction – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections. Seller cannot guarantee occupancy. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * *

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.1% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#272 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hudson Area Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #416 of 540 in MI (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $730 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,096 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.74%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,012
List price
$105,600
Delta
-22.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
523 S Meridian Rd 0.51mi 3/1.5 2,280 (-1%) 12mo $192,000 $84 63
102 S Wood St 0.47mi 3/2.5 2,346 (+2%) 9mo $163,400 $70 61
198 Buchanan St 0.40mi 3/1.0 2,368 (+3%) 19mo $175,000 $74 60
110 Railroad St 0.04mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,123 (-7%) 24mo $171,000 $81 59
424 Oak St 0.52mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,268 (-1%) 10mo $110,000 $49 59
209 Oak Street St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,068 (-10%) 8mo $169,000 $82 51
520 W Main St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,972 (-14%) 15mo $169,900 $86 48
415 Grove St 0.45mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,035 (-11%) 7mo $180,000 $88 44
104 Oak St 0.34mi 2/1.5 (-1) 2,076 (-10%) 22mo $172,500 $83 43
344 E Main St 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,278 (-1%) 22mo $174,900 $77 43
420 McClellan St 0.67mi 2/2.5 (-1) 2,004 (-13%) 0mo $332,500 $166 36
315 State St 0.63mi 3/2.0 2,032 (-11%) 21mo $210,000 $103 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-9,625
Equity at exit
$15,745
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,411
Equity at exit
$9,130

Cash invested: $29,568 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49247

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$554
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,320/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,001
Max offer price $105,600
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,400
Closing costs
$3,168
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,600 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,600 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,600 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,600 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,600 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,600 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,600 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,600 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,600 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,600 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,600 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,600 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,600 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,600 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,600 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-03-02
    listed $105,600 Active 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Charming Victorian two story home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Bright and spacious rooms with improvements over the years. Reserve Auction – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections. Seller cannot guarantee occupancy. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * *

  17. 2026-03-02
    listed $105,600 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Charming Victorian two story home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Bright and spacious rooms with improvements over the years. Reserve Auction – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections. Seller cannot guarantee occupancy. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * *

  18. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $139,900
  19. 2023-12-18
    soldstatus $139,900 Sold
  20. 2023-12-18
    soldstatus $139,900 Closed
  21. 2023-11-04
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show
  22. 2023-11-04
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
  23. 2023-10-05
    price $139,900
  24. 2023-10-05
    price $139,900
  25. 2023-08-30
    listed $145,000 Active
  26. 2023-08-30
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,320 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,320 · $193/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,789
− Mortgage interest
−$5,915
− Property taxes
−$2,320
− Insurance
−$528
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,103
− Management
−$1,103
− Depreciation
−$3,072
Taxable loss
−$252
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$61
After-tax cash flow
$1,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hudson Area Schools
NCES district ID
2618810
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,996
Composite
21.93/100
National rank
#8227
State rank
#416 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hudson

Score
71/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#6741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hudson, MI
Population (ZIP)
5,257

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.79%
Current HPI
307.255
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $105,600 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $105,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2023-12-18 Sold (MLS) $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-18 Sold (MLS) $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-11-04 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-11-04 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-30 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-30 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,320 · -18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…