1102 Martin Dr · Flowood, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move right into this 4 bedroom home located within walking distance to the Reservoir. Easy access to fishing, boating, and entertainment. Enter the foyer and you will see the formal dining room which offers a flexible option for dining or an office. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, newer stainless appliances and opens to a nice size breakfast nook overlooking a large backyard. The large family room with vaulted ceiling features a gas log fireplace flanked by built-in bookcases. The primary bedroom is good sized and has a primary bath with granite countertops and a walk-in closet. One of the three secondary bedrooms has a built-in desk and bookcases providing an option for a
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Formal dining room
- Vaulted ceiling
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community offers boating, fishing, hiking/walking trails, and a lake
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener and storage; Paved parking
- Security: Smoke detectors; Deadbolt locks
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Shed(s); Barn(s); Fenced backyard with privacy wood fencing; Level, rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Double oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Granite counters; Storage; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Fireplace in great room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Flowood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#10 in MS, #3,075 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oakdale Elementary (math 57% / reading 50%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 532 students, 99% FRL); Northwest Rankin Middle School (math 63% / reading 51%, grade B, #13 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,374 students, 100% FRL); Northwest Rankin High School (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D-, #34 of 197 statewide, top 17%, 1,898 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 433 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.26%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,087
- List price
- $209,900
- Delta
- -25.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1102 Martin Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,876 (0%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $112 | 90 |
| 315 Swallow Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,878 (+0%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $117 | 77 |
| 301 Camelia Trl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,827 (-3%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $140 | 66 |
| 258 Hidden Hills Pkwy | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (-2%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $174 | 64 |
| 238 Hidden Hills Pkwy | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,875 (-0%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $163 | 63 |
| 211 Magnolia Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,749 (-7%) | 12mo | $249,900 | $143 | 57 |
| 115 Hanover Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,854 (-1%) | 15mo | $269,900 | $146 | 56 |
| 272 Hidden Hills Pkwy | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 2,024 (+8%) | 6mo | $334,900 | $165 | 52 |
| 215 Swallow Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,128 (+13%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $117 | 43 |
| 520 Cliffview Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,051 (+9%) | 11mo | $299,900 | $146 | 38 |
| 262 Hidden Hills Pkwy | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,116 (+13%) | 8mo | $369,900 | $175 | 37 |
| 324 Gladeview Pl | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 2,065 (+10%) | 15mo | $339,900 | $165 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-14,709
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $11,463
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39047
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 433
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,178 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $425 | -5% $366 | +0% $306 | +5% $247 | +10% $188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $134 | -5% $220 | +0% $306 | +5% $392 | +10% $478 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $412 | -0.5pp $360 | base $306 | +0.5pp $252 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 Shenandoah Rd N Brandon, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $2,056 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 218 Shenandoah Rd N Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,006 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 199 Dogwood Cir Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 133 Cumberland Rd Brandon, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1846 | $2,225 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 976-char remark
-
2026-05-06$209,900 Active 976-char remark
-
2004-09-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,713 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,713 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$2,713
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,091
- − Management
- −$2,091
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable income
- $328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rankin County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803830
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,867
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2587
- State rank
- #6 of 130 in MS
Livability — Flowood
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #3075
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rankin County · 123,614 people
- City population
- 9,222
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,808
- Household income
- $100,347
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 551.0
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.01%
- Current HPI
- 162.9709
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2026-05-09 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-06 Listed $209,900 MLSU
- 2004-09-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,713 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…