Duplex
102 S Victoria St · Victoria, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 102-104 South Victoria St. This corner lot on just under a half acre of land 3 blocks from Downtown Victoria includes 4 units in total. 1 2BR 1BA house rented, one duplex 2BR 1BA each side rented, and a garage apartment that is vacant that could use some love to make rent ready. All units are sub-metered. Residents pay all their own utilities including electric, water, and trash. Current rents are $1850 a month as is. Property is an original type condition, but has incredible opportunity. This could be a wonderful for an investor to complete rent ready renovations on garage unit, but have cashflow coming in from day one or a wonderful opportunity for someone to live in the garage apartment 3 blocks from booming downtown for free with residents covering any expenses. Please do not disturb residents and contact for showing instructions today!
Key facts
- 4 units
- Garage apartment
- Sub-metered
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($214/yr) — positive. Per door: $9/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.7% in Victoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#309 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Victoria ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #645 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 43 units permitted in Victoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Victoria County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.11%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,187
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -56.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-25,986
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -32.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-41,369
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77901
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,919 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$307 /mo · $3,689/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $94 | -5% $56 | +0% $18 | +5% $-20 | +10% $-59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-134 | -5% $-58 | +0% $18 | +5% $94 | +10% $169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $52 | base $18 | +0.5pp $-17 | +1.0pp $-53 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | — | $1,918 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $959 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $959 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,919 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 E Brazos St Victoria, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 380 | $725 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1002 Pine St Victoria, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $575 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1303 E Colorado St Victoria, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $675 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $135,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Pending 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $135,000 Pending 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-10$149,900 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Welcome to 102-104 South Victoria St. This corner lot on just under a half acre of land 3 blocks from Downtown Victoria includes 4 units in total. 1 2BR 1BA house rented, one duplex 2BR 1BA each side rented, and a garage apartment that is vacant that could use some love to make rent ready. All units are sub-metered. Residents pay all their own utilities including electric, water, and trash. Current rents are $1850 a month as is. Property is an original type condition, but has incredible opportunity. This could be a wonderful for an investor to complete rent ready renovations on garage unit, but have cashflow coming in from day one or a wonderful opportunity for someone to live in the garage apartment 3 blocks from booming downtown for free with residents covering any expenses. Please do not disturb residents and contact for showing instructions today!
-
2025-04-10historical
-
2025-04-10price $159,900
-
2025-01-14$169,000 Active
-
2024-01-02historical
-
2023-10-25$179,900 Active
-
2023-06-22soldstatus
-
2023-05-15status Pending
-
2023-05-08$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,689 · $307/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,689 · $307/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$3,689
- − Insurance
- −$5,794
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,842
- − Management
- −$1,842
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,628
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$391
- After-tax cash flow
- $605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Victoria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844150
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,534
- Composite
- 24.98/100
- National rank
- #7562
- State rank
- #645 of 826 in TX
Livability — Victoria
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #6960
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Victoria, TX
- County
- Victoria County · 69,915 people
- City population
- 69,915
- Metro
- Victoria, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,854
- Household income
- $57,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1802.0
Population outlook (Victoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,119 people
- By 2030
- 113,161 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 127,402 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 141,953 · +33.8%
- By 2075
- 179,410 · +69.1%
- By 2100
- 200,127 · +88.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Victoria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 28.4% · R 71.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.62%
- Current HPI
- 138.3569
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Victoria, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-14.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Listed $149,900 HARMLS
- 2025-04-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $159,900 HARMLS
- 2025-01-14 Listed $169,000 HARMLS
- 2024-01-02 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2023-10-25 Listed $179,900 CTXMLS
- 2023-06-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-05-15 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2023-05-08 Listed $175,000 CTXMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,689 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…