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111 N 2nd St
C- Composite 53.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

111 N 2nd St · Hughesville, PA 17737
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,360 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1901 10,454 sqft lot $92/sqft · 42% below area Est $217k · 42% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location!! Location!! Bring your imagination to this 2 story house or start fresh and take it down. Double lot, goes from 2nd Street all the way to the alley.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • 2 story house
  • 0.24 acre lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOT2 STORY HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-473/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (5.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#225 in PA, #1,956 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • East Lycoming SD (town): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #93 of 539 in PA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,864 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.35%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,373
List price
$125,000
Delta
-42.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
56 N Broad St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,473 (+8%) 2mo $218,000 $148 74
146 N 4th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,488 (+9%) 9mo $218,000 $147 68
158 N 2nd St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+11%) 13mo $298,000 $197 62
54 S Broad St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,320 (-3%) 20mo $230,000 $174 62
172 S 4th St 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,278 (-6%) 6mo $250,000 $196 60
374 E Water St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,498 (+10%) 22mo $133,000 $89 55
103 N Main St 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,188 (-13%) 18mo $125,000 $105 55
1 Price Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-1%) 22mo $240,000 $179 51
50 N Broad St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,233 (-9%) 22mo $168,000 $136 50
366 S Second St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+6%) 18mo $100,000 $69 35
344 S 2nd St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,550 (+14%) 18mo $225,000 $145 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,869
Equity at exit
$49,057
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$33,205
Equity at exit
$70,454

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17737

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,089 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,302/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$-39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,138
Max offer price $118,044
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Location!! Location!! Bring your imagination to this 2 story house or start fresh and take it down. Double lot, goes from 2nd Street all the way to the alley.

  2. 2026-04-28
    price $125,000 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Location!! Location!! Bring your imagination to this 2 story house or start fresh and take it down. Double lot, goes from 2nd Street all the way to the alley.

  3. 2026-04-13
    listed $145,000 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    Location!! Location!! Bring your imagination to this 2 story house or start fresh and take it down. Double lot, goes from 2nd Street all the way to the alley.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,302 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,302 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,064
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,302
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,045
− Management
−$1,045
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$622
After-tax cash flow
$149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Lycoming SD
NCES district ID
4208490
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$53,360
Composite
48.88/100
National rank
#2083
State rank
#93 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hughesville

Score
80/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#1956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hughesville, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,476

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.96%
Current HPI
215.8872
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending WBVAR
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $125,000 WBVAR
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $145,000 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,302 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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