200 Spruce Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home with original woodwork and built-ins on double corner lot. First floor features living room, dining room with window seat, Kitchen, half bath, and enclosed back porch. Second floor has three nice size bedrooms and full bath. Nice yard and detached one car garage. With a little TLC, this home could be a stunner.
Key facts
- Enclosed back porch
- Double corner lot
- Original woodwork
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.06%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,330
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 Beech Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (-0%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $40 | 90 |
| 404 Cherry Ave | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,657 (+6%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $57 | 74 |
| 2309 1st St | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,496 (-4%) | 1mo | $147,100 | $98 | 69 |
| 215 7th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (-1%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $29 | 65 |
| 1225 19th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+2%) | 2mo | $138,500 | $87 | 61 |
| 208 23rd Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,788 (+14%) | 2mo | $212,500 | $119 | 56 |
| 1113 Broadway | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,646 (+5%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $76 | 56 |
| 2408 12th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,707 (+9%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $135 | 51 |
| 220 27th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,732 (+11%) | 3mo | $142,500 | $82 | 51 |
| 1009 22nd Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,791 (+14%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $42 | 50 |
| 1008 21st Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,749 (+12%) | 2mo | $59,500 | $34 | 48 |
| 1111 Broadway | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,785 (+14%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $87 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,448
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $13,538
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16601
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,028 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $252 | -5% $221 | +0% $190 | +5% $159 | +10% $128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $150 | +0% $190 | +5% $231 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $236 | -0.5pp $213 | base $190 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2708 Wehnwood Rd Altoona, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 960 | $967 | $1.01 | 44d | 5 | 0.96mi |
| 1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2015 12th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,605 | $1.65 | 44d | 9 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-08$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,338
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$987
- − Management
- −$987
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$217
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to update its dated interior and improve its curb appeal, making it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Cluttered and dated
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated and worn
- Moderate Flooring — Carpeted and dated
- Moderate Interior walls — Yellow walls and dated wallpaper
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures increase functionality and appeal
- Resale Replace flooring — Fresh flooring improves overall look and feel
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Cluttered and dated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Flooring · Carpeted and dated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior walls · Yellow walls and dated wallpaper | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures increase functionality and appeal ↑
- Resale Replace flooring — Fresh flooring improves overall look and feel ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,515
- Household income
- $58,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 715.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.97%
- Current HPI
- 183.9907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $90,000 AHARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…