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21204 N Skinner Rd
C Composite 58.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

21204 N Skinner Rd · La Blanca, TX 78542
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1985 0.51 ac lot $90/sqft · 31% below area Est $160k · 31% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This versatile 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a unique opportunity to be used as a single-family residence or divided into a duplex for rental income or multi-generational living. Nestled on a spacious half-acre lot just outside Edinburg city limits, enjoy the peace of country-style living! The layout provides flexible living spaces, and the large lot offers room for expansion or outdoor amenities.

Key facts

  • New stove
  • Updated wiring
  • New meter box

Tags

UPDATED WIRINGNEW METER BOX200 AMP BREAKER PANELNEW STOVEDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMENCLOSED SIDE PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces; No garage; Garage faces side
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story property; Not new construction
  • Construction: Metal roof; Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built with storage structure
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Manual gate; Workshop; Storage structure; Privacy wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Thermostat
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Countertops (other); Bonus room; Split bedroom layout; Window coverings (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room / laundry area; Electric water heater; Gas water heater; Water heater (other location)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,104 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Zavala El (math 18% / reading 18%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 547 students, 92% FRL); B L Garza Middle (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 1,056 students, 82% FRL); Edinburg North H S (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,672 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 62% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1003 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.24%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,843
List price
$110,000
Delta
-31.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-11,025
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-9,590
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78542

Home prices YoY
-13.4%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1003
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,645/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $110,000 Active 836-char remark
  17. 2025-12-10
    soldstatus
  18. 2025-12-09
    soldstatus Sold 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    This versatile 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a unique opportunity to be used as a single-family residence or divided into a duplex for rental income or multi-generational living. Nestled on a spacious half-acre lot just outside Edinburg city limits, enjoy the peace of country-style living! The layout provides flexible living spaces, and the large lot offers room for expansion or outdoor amenities.

  19. 2025-07-15
    listed $114,990 Active 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    This versatile 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a unique opportunity to be used as a single-family residence or divided into a duplex for rental income or multi-generational living. Nestled on a spacious half-acre lot just outside Edinburg city limits, enjoy the peace of country-style living! The layout provides flexible living spaces, and the large lot offers room for expansion or outdoor amenities.

  20. 2020-06-15
    soldstatus
  21. 2006-01-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,645 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$368/yr (+$31/mo · 22.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,972
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,645
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$180
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$43
After-tax cash flow
$1,878/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edinburg CISD
NCES district ID
4818180
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,985
Composite
22.42/100
National rank
#8114
State rank
#699 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Blanca

Score
60/100
State rank
#1104
US rank
#19566

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
89,401
Household income
$55,243
Rent vs Own
24.3% rent · 75.7% own
Severe rent burden
1240.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 59% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.17%
Current HPI
220.921
Rent YoY
▼ -1.07%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-12-09 Sold (MLS) MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $114,990 MCALLENMLS
  • 2020-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,645 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…