21204 N Skinner Rd · La Blanca, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This versatile 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a unique opportunity to be used as a single-family residence or divided into a duplex for rental income or multi-generational living. Nestled on a spacious half-acre lot just outside Edinburg city limits, enjoy the peace of country-style living! The layout provides flexible living spaces, and the large lot offers room for expansion or outdoor amenities.
Key facts
- New stove
- Updated wiring
- New meter box
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces; No garage; Garage faces side
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story property; Not new construction
- Construction: Metal roof; Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built with storage structure
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Manual gate; Workshop; Storage structure; Privacy wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove/Range
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Thermostat
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Countertops (other); Bonus room; Split bedroom layout; Window coverings (other)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room / laundry area; Electric water heater; Gas water heater; Water heater (other location)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,104 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Zavala El (math 18% / reading 18%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 547 students, 92% FRL); B L Garza Middle (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 1,056 students, 82% FRL); Edinburg North H S (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,672 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 62% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1003 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.24%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,843
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -31.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-11,025
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,590
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78542
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1003
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,645/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$110,000 Active 836-char remark
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2025-12-10soldstatus
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2025-12-09soldstatus Sold 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
This versatile 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a unique opportunity to be used as a single-family residence or divided into a duplex for rental income or multi-generational living. Nestled on a spacious half-acre lot just outside Edinburg city limits, enjoy the peace of country-style living! The layout provides flexible living spaces, and the large lot offers room for expansion or outdoor amenities.
-
2025-07-15$114,990 Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
This versatile 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a unique opportunity to be used as a single-family residence or divided into a duplex for rental income or multi-generational living. Nestled on a spacious half-acre lot just outside Edinburg city limits, enjoy the peace of country-style living! The layout provides flexible living spaces, and the large lot offers room for expansion or outdoor amenities.
-
2020-06-15soldstatus
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2006-01-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,645 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$368/yr (+$31/mo · 22.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,645
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Blanca
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1104
- US rank
- #19566
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 89,401
- Household income
- $55,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1240.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 59% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 84%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.17%
- Current HPI
- 220.921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.07%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-12-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-12-09 Sold (MLS) — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $114,990 MCALLENMLS
- 2020-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,645 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…