112 Quincy · Savanna, IL 61074

$72,900

3 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,622 sqft · Other public records · 384 Days on market

Built 1903

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.1/10.0
• 1% rule +6.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Well maintained duplex close to down town Savanna, River walk and all Main Street activities, 2nd level apartment offers 2 bedrooms, sun deck w/ River view and off street parking. Main level offers 2 enclosed porches, 2 beds, updated bathroom, off street parking. Roof 2000, double pane windows 2015, newer water heater 2017, and Gas Forced air unit 2016, and updated circuit box.

Key facts

• Enclosed porches
• River view
• Double pane windows

Tags

• SUN DECK
• RIVER VIEW
• ENCLOSED PORCHES
• UPDATED BATHROOM
• DOUBLE PANE WINDOWS
• NEWER WATER HEATER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $73k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($943/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $73k).
• Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#684 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• West Carroll CUSD 314 (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #498 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: West Carroll Primary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 416 students, 0% FRL); West Carroll Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 193 students, 0% FRL); West Carroll High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #462 of 693 statewide, top 68%, 286 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $504 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Carroll County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 384 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $32k; list at $73k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $64,152 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 384 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.10% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.62%
• DSCR: 1.21
• GRM: 7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.67×
• Total profit: $-6,766
• Equity at exit: $10,870

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.04×
• Total profit: $725
• Equity at exit: $6,303

Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 61074

• Home prices YoY: -14.6%
• Active inventory: 38
• Price-to-rent: 7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $800 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$382
• Tax from tax record: −$141 /mo · $1,689/yr
• Insurance: −$30
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$168
• Net cashflow: $79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $701

Max offer price $72,900

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,225
• Closing costs: $2,187
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
512-514 Chicago Ave Savanna, IL	3.0	1.0	1435	$800	$0.56	44d	1	0.60mi
512 Chicago Ave Unit 1 Savanna, IL	3.0	1.5	1435	$800	$0.56	44d	1	0.60mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-27
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-09
   historical
3. 2026-03-06
   price $72,900
4. 2025-11-19
   price $75,900
5. 2025-05-21
   price $77,900
6. 2025-04-08
   listed $79,000 Active
7. 1998-01-02
   soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,689 · $141/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,689 · $141/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,084
• − Property taxes: −$1,689
• − Insurance: −$364
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$768
• − Management: −$768
• − Depreciation: −$2,121
• Taxable loss: −$194
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$47
• After-tax cash flow: $989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: West Carroll CUSD 314
• NCES district ID: 1700310
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $43,090
• Composite: 13.91/100
• National rank: #9483
• State rank: #498 of 620 in IL

Livability — Savanna

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #684
• US rank: #13971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Savanna, IL
• Population (ZIP): 4,009

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,010 people
• By 2030: 12,150 · -6.6%
• By 2040: 10,462 · -19.6%
• By 2050: 9,078 · -30.2%
• By 2075: 6,704 · -48.5%
• By 2100: 5,004 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.2% · R 64.8% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -36.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -31.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+29.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: D+1.4 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -24.68%
• Current HPI: 144.9327
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+127.8% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Pending — NWIAR
• 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $72,900 NWIAR
• 2025-11-19 Price Changed $75,900 NWIAR
• 2025-05-21 Price Changed $77,900 NWIAR
• 2025-04-08 Listed $79,000 NWIAR
• 1998-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,689 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.