1821 NW Rude Rd · Poulsbo, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits in the heart of Poulsbo! Situated on a generous . 26-acre lot, this unique property offers exceptional potential for investors, builders, or buyers seeking a redevelopment project in a desirable location. The property currently features a 1942 single-story home and an additional single-wide structure, both considered tear-downs and being sold as-is. Utilities already on site including 2 septic systems and 2 wells, with ample space to reimagine including designing a multigenerational property. This parcel presents an ideal opportunity to build new, create an investment property, or design a custom residence surrounded by the natural beauty and charm of the Pacific Northwes
Key facts
- Custom residence
- 2 septic systems
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as having value in land
- Financial info: Cash listing terms
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered space (carport attached); 3 uncovered spaces; Driveway parking; RV parking
- Utilities: Individual well and shared well (see remarks); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence, 1 story; Built on lot; House structure; Has a view; Effective year built 1942
- Construction: Wood construction (see remarks); Composition roof; Built 1942 (effective year)
- Exterior features: Wood products exterior (see remarks); Dirt road access; Brush, garden space, and wooded vegetation; RV parking
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Wood-burning fireplace (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($640/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.7% in Poulsbo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in WA, #508 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- North Kitsap School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #54 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Poulsbo Elementary School (448 students, 26% FRL); North Kitsap High School (1,063 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.02%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $467,692
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -51.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1821 NW Rude Rd | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $175 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-37,619
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-46,233
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98370
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,036 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $131 | +0% $53 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-27 | +0% $53 | +5% $134 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $167 | -0.5pp $111 | base $53 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-64 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20031 Winton Ln NW Poulsbo, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,999 | $2.21 | 14d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 700 NW Advance Dr Poulsbo, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1155 | $1,910 | $1.65 | 14d | 7 | 0.99mi |
| 22295 Dauntless Dr NW Poulsbo, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $2,325 | $1.88 | 14d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 22275 Dauntless Dr NW Unit 101 Poulsbo, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,850 | $2.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 20455 1st Ave NE Poulsbo, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,159 | $2.13 | 14d | 4 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-08$225,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,954
- − Management
- −$1,954
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,128
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$751
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Kitsap School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305760
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,919
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #3092
- State rank
- #54 of 291 in WA
Livability — Poulsbo
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #508
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kitsap County · 243,099 people
- City population
- 33,655
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,655
- Household income
- $116,756
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 904.0
Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 277,525 people
- By 2030
- 285,040 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 294,957 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 300,622 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 315,580 · +13.7%
- By 2100
- 304,340 · +9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -342.47%
- Current HPI
- 347.3427
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.71%
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $210,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $225,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $440 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…