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70 Crestwood Cir
C- Composite 50.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$365,000

70 Crestwood Cir · Ormond Beach, FL 32174
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,929 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1966 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here's your chance to have a home 2 blocks from the river! This well built home located in the beautiful Woodmere Circle subdivision of Ormond beach has NO HOA and has NEVER FLOODED!!! This 4 bedroom 2 bath OVER 2,100 sq ft home is just waiting for you to put your personal touches on it!. Located on a beautiful lot, enjoy the privacy of your very own pool on summer days, and then walk down to the river for the sunset. Deals like this don't come along every day! Come see this one for yourself! The roof is 2024. The potential is endless under this newer roof!!

Key facts

  • Private pool
  • Never flooded
  • Newer roof

Tags

WOODMERE CIRCLE SUBDIVISIONNO HOANEVER FLOODEDPRIVATE POOLNEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed: cats and dogs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space; Additional parking in carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces west; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Block, cement siding and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation and slab; Built with concrete materials
  • Exterior features: Patio; In-ground pool; Located on a cul-de-sac; Asphalt city street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Unfurnished
  • Flooring: Concrete floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in carport

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $325k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.8% in Ormond Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Trail Elementary School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #230 of 2,144 statewide, top 12%, 688 students, 45% FRL); Ormond Beach Middle School (math 57% / reading 55%, grade B-, #175 of 571 statewide, top 31%, 990 students, 48% FRL); Seabreeze High School (math 31% / reading 56%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,654 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 989 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,250/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1158% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $325,014 (11.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.80%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-37,654
Equity at exit
$54,423
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-17,470
Equity at exit
$31,559

Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32174

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
989
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,108/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$683
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,732
Max offer price $365,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $616 -5% $512 +0% $409 +5% $306 +10% $202
Rent -10% $152 -5% $281 +0% $409 +5% $537 +10% $666
Rate -1.0pp $593 -0.5pp $502 base $409 +0.5pp $314 +1.0pp $218

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,250
Closing costs
$10,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1286 John Anderson Dr Ormond Beach, FL 3.0 3.5 2322 $9,999 $4.31 16d 1 0.90mi
206 Ormwood Dr Unit NA Ormond Beach, FL 4.0 3.0 2424 $3,500 $1.44 25d 1 1.08mi
414 Triton Rd Ormond Beach, FL 4.0 3.0 2467 $3,500 $1.42 23d 1 1.46mi
1425 Ocean Shore Blvd #501 Ormond Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 2515 $3,100 $1.23 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $365,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $365,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $365,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 564-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $365,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,108 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,030 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$1,921/yr (+$160/mo · 173.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,002
− Mortgage interest
−$20,446
− Property taxes
−$1,108
− Insurance
−$1,825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,120
− Management
−$3,120
− Depreciation
−$10,618
Taxable loss
−$1,236
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$297
After-tax cash flow
$5,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ormond Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#965

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ormond Beach, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
69,624
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
54,783
Household income
$71,011
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
1158.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -327.97%
Current HPI
271.92
Rent YoY
▲ 1.64%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $365,000 Daytona MLS

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,108 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…