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3509 E 27th Ave
C Composite 55.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$5,000

3509 E 27th Ave · Tampa, FL 33605
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,706 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1944

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Tampa community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From I-4, take Exit 1, head south on 22nd St, then turn onto E 27th Ave and continue to the property.

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Home design: Residential property; 1 story
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.35 acres; Zoned RS-50

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Single-story layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 190 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,586/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $535 of equity ($35 loan paydown + $500 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
51.72%
Cap rate
488.30%
Cash-on-cash
1721.45%
DSCR
77.59
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
89.95×
Total profit
$124,527
Equity at exit
$4,504
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
183.08×
Total profit
$254,916
Equity at exit
$9,714

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33605

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,586 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$543
Net cashflow
$2,008

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 17%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,012 -5% $2,010 +0% $2,008 +5% $2,007 +10% $2,005
Rent -10% $1,804 -5% $1,906 +0% $2,008 +5% $2,110 +10% $2,213
Rate -1.0pp $2,011 -0.5pp $2,010 base $2,008 +0.5pp $2,007 +1.0pp $2,006

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2203 E 23rd Ave Tampa, FL 4.0 2.5 1880 $2,900 $1.54 18d 1 0.90mi
3016 E Palifox St Unit NA Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 2002 $2,200 $1.10 25d 1 0.92mi
3624 E Osborne Ave Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 1963 $2,400 $1.22 25d 1 0.97mi
2904 Banza St Tampa, FL 4.0 3.0 2031 $3,200 $1.58 25d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    listed $5,000 Active
  2. 1996-08-13
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,032
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,483
− Management
−$2,483
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$25,541
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,130
After-tax cash flow
$17,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

Score
79/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tampa, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
523,346
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,030
Household income
$36,975
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1374.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.43%
Current HPI
494.1871
Rent YoY
▲ 0.58%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-75.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
  • 1996-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,007 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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