3509 E 27th Ave · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Tampa community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From I-4, take Exit 1, head south on 22nd St, then turn onto E 27th Ave and continue to the property.
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Home design: Residential property; 1 story
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.35 acres; Zoned RS-50
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: Single-story layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 190 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,586/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $535 of equity ($35 loan paydown + $500 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 51.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 488.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1721.45%
- DSCR
- 77.59
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 89.95×
- Total profit
- $124,527
- Equity at exit
- $4,504
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 183.08×
- Total profit
- $254,916
- Equity at exit
- $9,714
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33605
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,586 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$543
- Net cashflow
- $2,008
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,012 | -5% $2,010 | +0% $2,008 | +5% $2,007 | +10% $2,005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,804 | -5% $1,906 | +0% $2,008 | +5% $2,110 | +10% $2,213 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,011 | -0.5pp $2,010 | base $2,008 | +0.5pp $2,007 | +1.0pp $2,006 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2203 E 23rd Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1880 | $2,900 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3016 E Palifox St Unit NA Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2002 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3624 E Osborne Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1963 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2904 Banza St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2031 | $3,200 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-20$5,000 Active
-
1996-08-13soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,032
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,483
- − Management
- −$2,483
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $25,541
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,130
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,030
- Household income
- $36,975
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1374.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.43%
- Current HPI
- 494.1871
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.58%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-75.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 1996-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,007 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…